Recent official outlooks from Singapore’s Meteorological Service highlight persistent Southwest Monsoon conditions favoring daily maximum temperatures of 33–34 °C through late August, directly supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C at 54 % implied probability. Recent station data show frequent exceedances of 33 °C amid above-average warmth this month, with localized afternoon thundery showers providing the main cooling mechanism that could cap readings near 32 °C (33.5 %). Model guidance for 31 August remains consistent with these ranges, though scattered convection introduces modest uncertainty around the precise peak. Historical climatology places the August mean maximum near 31.4 °C, underscoring how current conditions elevate the likelihood of the 33 °C threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Singapore on August 31?
33°C 54%
32°C 33%
34°C 8%
31°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
33%
33°C
54%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 54%
32°C 33%
34°C 8%
31°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
33%
33°C
54%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official outlooks from Singapore’s Meteorological Service highlight persistent Southwest Monsoon conditions favoring daily maximum temperatures of 33–34 °C through late August, directly supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C at 54 % implied probability. Recent station data show frequent exceedances of 33 °C amid above-average warmth this month, with localized afternoon thundery showers providing the main cooling mechanism that could cap readings near 32 °C (33.5 %). Model guidance for 31 August remains consistent with these ranges, though scattered convection introduces modest uncertainty around the precise peak. Historical climatology places the August mean maximum near 31.4 °C, underscoring how current conditions elevate the likelihood of the 33 °C threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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