Latest official forecasts and real-time observations from coastal stations indicate Tel Aviv will reach a daily maximum of 30°C under clear skies and light westerly flow on June 14. This aligns with the dominant market-implied probability exceeding 95 percent. Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation typically caps coastal highs near seasonal averages of 28–30°C, while stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover support modest warming above baseline. Model consensus from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service shows limited spread, with no strong signals for intensification or suppression. Only an unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or rapid marine layer development could realistically shift the outcome below 30°C before peak afternoon heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 14?
30°C 97.8%
31°C 2.4%
32°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$28,724 Wol.
$28,724 Wol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
98%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 97.8%
31°C 2.4%
32°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$28,724 Wol.
$28,724 Wol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
98%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts and real-time observations from coastal stations indicate Tel Aviv will reach a daily maximum of 30°C under clear skies and light westerly flow on June 14. This aligns with the dominant market-implied probability exceeding 95 percent. Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation typically caps coastal highs near seasonal averages of 28–30°C, while stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover support modest warming above baseline. Model consensus from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service shows limited spread, with no strong signals for intensification or suppression. Only an unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or rapid marine layer development could realistically shift the outcome below 30°C before peak afternoon heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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