Recent reports show SpaceX accelerating its IPO timeline, with a June 11 pricing target and June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, supporting the 94% implied probability traders assign to a June outcome. This adjustment reflects a quicker-than-expected SEC review, enabling an imminent prospectus release and roadshow launch as early as June 4, alongside plans to raise as much as $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Strong institutional interest and a large retail allocation further anchor market-implied odds around this window. While the current consensus reflects skin-in-the-game positioning, any slippage in regulatory milestones or broader equity market volatility could realistically shift resolution into July.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJune 94%
July 5.1%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
August <1%
$366,242 Wol.
$366,242 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
May
<1%
June
94%
July
5%
August
1%
September
1%
October
<1%
November
<1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
1%
June 94%
July 5.1%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
August <1%
$366,242 Wol.
$366,242 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
May
$73,647 Wol.
<1%
June
$113,371 Wol.
94%
July
$19,696 Wol.
5%
August
$11,479 Wol.
1%
September
$12,038 Wol.
1%
October
$10,390 Wol.
<1%
November
$11,776 Wol.
<1%
December
$7,030 Wol.
<1%
No IPO before 2027
$16,140 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Recent reports show SpaceX accelerating its IPO timeline, with a June 11 pricing target and June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, supporting the 94% implied probability traders assign to a June outcome. This adjustment reflects a quicker-than-expected SEC review, enabling an imminent prospectus release and roadshow launch as early as June 4, alongside plans to raise as much as $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Strong institutional interest and a large retail allocation further anchor market-implied odds around this window. While the current consensus reflects skin-in-the-game positioning, any slippage in regulatory milestones or broader equity market volatility could realistically shift resolution into July.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$366,242Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Recent reports show SpaceX accelerating its IPO timeline, with a June 11 pricing target and June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, supporting the 94% implied probability traders assign to a June outcome. This adjustment reflects a quicker-than-expected SEC review, enabling an imminent prospectus release and roadshow launch as early as June 4, alongside plans to raise as much as $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Strong institutional interest and a large retail allocation further anchor market-implied odds around this window. While the current consensus reflects skin-in-the-game positioning, any slippage in regulatory milestones or broader equity market volatility could realistically shift resolution into July.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Wolumen
$366,242Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent reports show SpaceX accelerating its IPO timeline, with a June 11 pricing target and June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, supporting the 94% implied probability traders assign to a June outcome. This adjustment reflects a quicker-than-expected SEC review, enabling an imminent prospectus release and roadshow launch as early as June 4, alongside plans to raise as much as $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Strong institutional interest and a large retail allocation further anchor market-implied odds around this window. While the current consensus reflects skin-in-the-game positioning, any slippage in regulatory milestones or broader equity market volatility could realistically shift resolution into July.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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