Forecast models indicate clear skies and light southeasterly winds overnight into August 30 will promote radiative cooling over Cape Town, with dew points falling to 5–7°C and surface pressures rising above 1023 hPa. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 9–12°C at official stations, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or residual cloud cover could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 8–10°C, but the current dry-air advection from the interior reduces the chance of sub-7°C readings. Traders appear to price uncertainty around these thresholds because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in nocturnal cooling rates ahead of the final observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
16°C or higher 60%
7°C 49%
14°C 43%
10°C 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
49%
8°C
26%
9°C
28%
10°C
31%
11°C
30%
12°C
25%
13°C
17%
14°C
43%
15°C
10%
16°C or higher
60%
16°C or higher 60%
7°C 49%
14°C 43%
10°C 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$140 Wol.
<1%
7°C
$15 Wol.
49%
8°C
$0 Wol.
26%
9°C
$131 Wol.
28%
10°C
$0 Wol.
31%
11°C
$0 Wol.
30%
12°C
$0 Wol.
25%
13°C
$0 Wol.
17%
14°C
$10 Wol.
43%
15°C
$5 Wol.
10%
16°C or higher
$5 Wol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate clear skies and light southeasterly winds overnight into August 30 will promote radiative cooling over Cape Town, with dew points falling to 5–7°C and surface pressures rising above 1023 hPa. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 9–12°C at official stations, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or residual cloud cover could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 8–10°C, but the current dry-air advection from the interior reduces the chance of sub-7°C readings. Traders appear to price uncertainty around these thresholds because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in nocturnal cooling rates ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$306Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate clear skies and light southeasterly winds overnight into August 30 will promote radiative cooling over Cape Town, with dew points falling to 5–7°C and surface pressures rising above 1023 hPa. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 9–12°C at official stations, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or residual cloud cover could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 8–10°C, but the current dry-air advection from the interior reduces the chance of sub-7°C readings. Traders appear to price uncertainty around these thresholds because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in nocturnal cooling rates ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$306Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate clear skies and light southeasterly winds overnight into August 30 will promote radiative cooling over Cape Town, with dew points falling to 5–7°C and surface pressures rising above 1023 hPa. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 9–12°C at official stations, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or residual cloud cover could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 8–10°C, but the current dry-air advection from the interior reduces the chance of sub-7°C readings. Traders appear to price uncertainty around these thresholds because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in nocturnal cooling rates ahead of the final observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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