Current forecasts from multiple models show persistent cloud cover and scattered rain or thunderstorms over Guangzhou on September 4, driven by northwest flow and high humidity, keeping the overnight low near the early-September climatological average of 24°C. Evaporative cooling from precipitation and limited radiative cooling under overcast skies are the main factors holding temperatures in the 23–25°C range, while any earlier clearing or heavier localized rain could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. This scientific uncertainty, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds across the 20–28°C outcomes, centers on precise timing of rainfall and boundary-layer moisture in the final model runs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 4?
18°C or below 69%
28°C or higher 69%
24°C 50%
20°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
18°C or below
69%
19°C
18%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
27%
24°C
50%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
20%
28°C or higher
69%
18°C or below 69%
28°C or higher 69%
24°C 50%
20°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Wol.
69%
19°C
$0 Wol.
18%
20°C
$0 Wol.
49%
21°C
$0 Wol.
49%
22°C
$0 Wol.
49%
23°C
$0 Wol.
27%
24°C
$0 Wol.
50%
25°C
$0 Wol.
49%
26°C
$0 Wol.
49%
27°C
$0 Wol.
20%
28°C or higher
$0 Wol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models show persistent cloud cover and scattered rain or thunderstorms over Guangzhou on September 4, driven by northwest flow and high humidity, keeping the overnight low near the early-September climatological average of 24°C. Evaporative cooling from precipitation and limited radiative cooling under overcast skies are the main factors holding temperatures in the 23–25°C range, while any earlier clearing or heavier localized rain could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. This scientific uncertainty, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds across the 20–28°C outcomes, centers on precise timing of rainfall and boundary-layer moisture in the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models show persistent cloud cover and scattered rain or thunderstorms over Guangzhou on September 4, driven by northwest flow and high humidity, keeping the overnight low near the early-September climatological average of 24°C. Evaporative cooling from precipitation and limited radiative cooling under overcast skies are the main factors holding temperatures in the 23–25°C range, while any earlier clearing or heavier localized rain could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. This scientific uncertainty, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds across the 20–28°C outcomes, centers on precise timing of rainfall and boundary-layer moisture in the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models show persistent cloud cover and scattered rain or thunderstorms over Guangzhou on September 4, driven by northwest flow and high humidity, keeping the overnight low near the early-September climatological average of 24°C. Evaporative cooling from precipitation and limited radiative cooling under overcast skies are the main factors holding temperatures in the 23–25°C range, while any earlier clearing or heavier localized rain could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. This scientific uncertainty, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds across the 20–28°C outcomes, centers on precise timing of rainfall and boundary-layer moisture in the final model runs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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