The overwhelming market consensus on 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 14 reflects the official Hong Kong Observatory minimum of 26°C, measured amid a post-heatwave cooldown. Persistent high pressure and a tropical cyclone's lingering influence had driven daytime maxima above 33–36°C earlier in the month, but overnight showers and increased cloud cover on the 14th allowed radiative cooling to reach this threshold without dropping further, consistent with seasonal norms near 26–28°C for the period. This outcome aligns with verified observational data from the observatory's headquarters station, the standard reference for such resolutions. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or alternate station reading could alter the result, though historical patterns show minimal variance once initial reports are confirmed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
29°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$72,727 Wol.
$72,727 Wol.
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
29°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$72,727 Wol.
$72,727 Wol.
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
$2,697 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$4,022 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$5,631 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$10,113 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$11,910 Wol.
100%
27°C
$17,939 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$6,133 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$8,433 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$4,174 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$567 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,108 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus on 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 14 reflects the official Hong Kong Observatory minimum of 26°C, measured amid a post-heatwave cooldown. Persistent high pressure and a tropical cyclone's lingering influence had driven daytime maxima above 33–36°C earlier in the month, but overnight showers and increased cloud cover on the 14th allowed radiative cooling to reach this threshold without dropping further, consistent with seasonal norms near 26–28°C for the period. This outcome aligns with verified observational data from the observatory's headquarters station, the standard reference for such resolutions. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or alternate station reading could alter the result, though historical patterns show minimal variance once initial reports are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$72,727Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus on 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 14 reflects the official Hong Kong Observatory minimum of 26°C, measured amid a post-heatwave cooldown. Persistent high pressure and a tropical cyclone's lingering influence had driven daytime maxima above 33–36°C earlier in the month, but overnight showers and increased cloud cover on the 14th allowed radiative cooling to reach this threshold without dropping further, consistent with seasonal norms near 26–28°C for the period. This outcome aligns with verified observational data from the observatory's headquarters station, the standard reference for such resolutions. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or alternate station reading could alter the result, though historical patterns show minimal variance once initial reports are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$72,727Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming market consensus on 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 14 reflects the official Hong Kong Observatory minimum of 26°C, measured amid a post-heatwave cooldown. Persistent high pressure and a tropical cyclone's lingering influence had driven daytime maxima above 33–36°C earlier in the month, but overnight showers and increased cloud cover on the 14th allowed radiative cooling to reach this threshold without dropping further, consistent with seasonal norms near 26–28°C for the period. This outcome aligns with verified observational data from the observatory's headquarters station, the standard reference for such resolutions. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or alternate station reading could alter the result, though historical patterns show minimal variance once initial reports are confirmed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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