Recent official forecasts from monitoring agencies show a pronounced influx of cooler continental air into the Jinan region, driving the overnight minimum well below seasonal norms and establishing strong market-implied odds for 12°C or below. Model consensus highlights rapid radiational cooling under clear skies combined with northerly flow, consistent with historical analogs for early September cold intrusions in Shandong. Traders assign negligible probability to warmer outcomes because multiple ensemble runs converge on this trajectory, with limited scope for moderation from cloud cover or wind shifts. The primary risk to this positioning remains a last-minute revision in observational data or an unexpected southerly surge that could elevate the minimum by several degrees before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Jinan on September 11?
12°C or below 99.9%
14°C <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
12°C or below
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 99.9%
14°C <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
12°C or below
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from monitoring agencies show a pronounced influx of cooler continental air into the Jinan region, driving the overnight minimum well below seasonal norms and establishing strong market-implied odds for 12°C or below. Model consensus highlights rapid radiational cooling under clear skies combined with northerly flow, consistent with historical analogs for early September cold intrusions in Shandong. Traders assign negligible probability to warmer outcomes because multiple ensemble runs converge on this trajectory, with limited scope for moderation from cloud cover or wind shifts. The primary risk to this positioning remains a last-minute revision in observational data or an unexpected southerly surge that could elevate the minimum by several degrees before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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