Current high-pressure dominance and a warm southerly flow are keeping forecast overnight lows for London on August 13 centered near 19°C, with market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around 18–20°C. Clear skies promote some radiational cooling after daytime highs near 30–35°C, yet the warm air mass and urban heat island limit drops below 18°C, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could hold minima at or above 20°C. Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and advection timing, sustaining the narrow probability distribution until updated guidance arrives closer to the date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 13?
19°C 39%
20°C 33%
18°C 16%
17°C 9%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
9%
18°C
16%
19°C
39%
20°C
33%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 39%
20°C 33%
18°C 16%
17°C 9%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
9%
18°C
16%
19°C
39%
20°C
33%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current high-pressure dominance and a warm southerly flow are keeping forecast overnight lows for London on August 13 centered near 19°C, with market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around 18–20°C. Clear skies promote some radiational cooling after daytime highs near 30–35°C, yet the warm air mass and urban heat island limit drops below 18°C, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could hold minima at or above 20°C. Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and advection timing, sustaining the narrow probability distribution until updated guidance arrives closer to the date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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