Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London indicate an overnight minimum near 13°C on June 14, driven by mild northwesterly flow under generally clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. Model consensus from European and UK sources aligns closely on this threshold, consistent with seasonal baselines where June nighttime lows average 11–12°C but current synoptic conditions support a slightly warmer floor. Trader consensus at 99.2% on 13°C reflects high confidence in these guidance products resolving exactly at that level, with resolution likely hinging on official observations from sites such as Heathrow or St James’s Park. Unlikely shifts in cloud cover or frontal timing could push the reading to 12°C or 14°C, though ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the overnight period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on June 14?
13°C 99.1%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
$16,065 Wol.
$16,065 Wol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.1%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
$16,065 Wol.
$16,065 Wol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London indicate an overnight minimum near 13°C on June 14, driven by mild northwesterly flow under generally clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. Model consensus from European and UK sources aligns closely on this threshold, consistent with seasonal baselines where June nighttime lows average 11–12°C but current synoptic conditions support a slightly warmer floor. Trader consensus at 99.2% on 13°C reflects high confidence in these guidance products resolving exactly at that level, with resolution likely hinging on official observations from sites such as Heathrow or St James’s Park. Unlikely shifts in cloud cover or frontal timing could push the reading to 12°C or 14°C, though ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the overnight period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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