The market's overwhelming 99.3% implied probability on 13°C as London's lowest temperature on June 14 stems from the Met Office forecast pinpointing a 13°C overnight minimum under clear, stable high-pressure conditions favoring radiative cooling. Model consensus from European and UK ensembles aligns on light winds and minimal cloud cover, producing typical early-summer nocturnal temperatures near the seasonal average without significant advection of warmer air. Official guidance shows low precipitation risk and only modest diurnal ranges, reinforcing this outcome. A shift to increased cloudiness or an unexpected frontal passage could raise the minimum by limiting heat loss, though current observations and short-range updates make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on June 14?
Lowest temperature in London on June 14?
13°C 99.3%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
7°C or below <1%
$13,781 Wol.
$13,781 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.3%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
7°C or below <1%
$13,781 Wol.
$13,781 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
7°C or below
$790 Wol.
<1%
8°C
$733 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$539 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$743 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$1,864 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$1,204 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$4,778 Wol.
99%
14°C
$1,712 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$1,002 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$1,026 Wol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$585 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 99.3% implied probability on 13°C as London's lowest temperature on June 14 stems from the Met Office forecast pinpointing a 13°C overnight minimum under clear, stable high-pressure conditions favoring radiative cooling. Model consensus from European and UK ensembles aligns on light winds and minimal cloud cover, producing typical early-summer nocturnal temperatures near the seasonal average without significant advection of warmer air. Official guidance shows low precipitation risk and only modest diurnal ranges, reinforcing this outcome. A shift to increased cloudiness or an unexpected frontal passage could raise the minimum by limiting heat loss, though current observations and short-range updates make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,781Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 99.3% implied probability on 13°C as London's lowest temperature on June 14 stems from the Met Office forecast pinpointing a 13°C overnight minimum under clear, stable high-pressure conditions favoring radiative cooling. Model consensus from European and UK ensembles aligns on light winds and minimal cloud cover, producing typical early-summer nocturnal temperatures near the seasonal average without significant advection of warmer air. Official guidance shows low precipitation risk and only modest diurnal ranges, reinforcing this outcome. A shift to increased cloudiness or an unexpected frontal passage could raise the minimum by limiting heat loss, though current observations and short-range updates make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13,781Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming 99.3% implied probability on 13°C as London's lowest temperature on June 14 stems from the Met Office forecast pinpointing a 13°C overnight minimum under clear, stable high-pressure conditions favoring radiative cooling. Model consensus from European and UK ensembles aligns on light winds and minimal cloud cover, producing typical early-summer nocturnal temperatures near the seasonal average without significant advection of warmer air. Official guidance shows low precipitation risk and only modest diurnal ranges, reinforcing this outcome. A shift to increased cloudiness or an unexpected frontal passage could raise the minimum by limiting heat loss, though current observations and short-range updates make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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