Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over northern India are the main drivers behind the closely matched 43% market-implied odds for both 22°C or below and 32°C or higher as Lucknow’s September 11 minimum. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models project overnight lows near 24–27°C, with high humidity and scattered thundershowers limiting radiative cooling while also suppressing daytime peaks. Traders appear split on whether any late clearing could allow slightly cooler readings or whether continued moisture will hold temperatures in the mid-20s. Key resolution hinges on the final observed low from local stations, with updated model runs and IMD briefings expected to refine the range ahead of market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 11?
22°C or below 86%
32°C or higher 86%
26°C 44%
23°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
22°C or below
86%
23°C
39%
24°C
37%
25°C
20%
26°C
25%
27°C
23%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
86%
22°C or below 86%
32°C or higher 86%
26°C 44%
23°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Wol.
86%
23°C
$0 Wol.
39%
24°C
$0 Wol.
37%
25°C
$0 Wol.
20%
26°C
$10 Wol.
25%
27°C
$0 Wol.
23%
28°C
$42 Wol.
39%
29°C
$0 Wol.
39%
30°C
$0 Wol.
39%
31°C
$0 Wol.
14%
32°C or higher
$0 Wol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over northern India are the main drivers behind the closely matched 43% market-implied odds for both 22°C or below and 32°C or higher as Lucknow’s September 11 minimum. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models project overnight lows near 24–27°C, with high humidity and scattered thundershowers limiting radiative cooling while also suppressing daytime peaks. Traders appear split on whether any late clearing could allow slightly cooler readings or whether continued moisture will hold temperatures in the mid-20s. Key resolution hinges on the final observed low from local stations, with updated model runs and IMD briefings expected to refine the range ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$52Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over northern India are the main drivers behind the closely matched 43% market-implied odds for both 22°C or below and 32°C or higher as Lucknow’s September 11 minimum. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models project overnight lows near 24–27°C, with high humidity and scattered thundershowers limiting radiative cooling while also suppressing daytime peaks. Traders appear split on whether any late clearing could allow slightly cooler readings or whether continued moisture will hold temperatures in the mid-20s. Key resolution hinges on the final observed low from local stations, with updated model runs and IMD briefings expected to refine the range ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$52Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over northern India are the main drivers behind the closely matched 43% market-implied odds for both 22°C or below and 32°C or higher as Lucknow’s September 11 minimum. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models project overnight lows near 24–27°C, with high humidity and scattered thundershowers limiting radiative cooling while also suppressing daytime peaks. Traders appear split on whether any late clearing could allow slightly cooler readings or whether continued moisture will hold temperatures in the mid-20s. Key resolution hinges on the final observed low from local stations, with updated model runs and IMD briefings expected to refine the range ahead of market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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