Traders see the lowest NYC temperature on June 14 centering near 72–77°F because current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show an overnight low shaped by moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with dew points in the upper 50s limiting further drops. A weak southerly flow and urban heat island effects keep readings from falling into the upper 60s, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could push the minimum into the mid-70s. The narrow spread between the leading 72–73°F and 76–77°F bins reflects small but meaningful differences in model solutions for boundary-layer mixing and the exact timing of the daily minimum before daytime heating begins.