Recent forecasts from European models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 4 near 18–19°C, driven by mild westerly flow off the Atlantic that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. Persistent high pressure and a lack of northerly advection have sustained above-normal overnight values compared to the 1991–2020 average low of 12.8°C, with ensemble guidance showing tight clustering around these levels rather than sharper drops. Minor model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow edge between 18°C and 19°C outcomes, while stronger winds or clearer skies could briefly favor the lower figure before dawn. Official Météo-France updates and overnight observations will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 4?
18°C 46%
17°C 35%
19°C 30%
20°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
14°C or below
6%
15°C
6%
16°C
6%
17°C
35%
18°C
34%
19°C
38%
20°C
9%
21°C
9%
22°C
6%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
2%
18°C 46%
17°C 35%
19°C 30%
20°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Wol.
6%
15°C
$0 Wol.
6%
16°C
$0 Wol.
6%
17°C
$0 Wol.
35%
18°C
$66 Wol.
34%
19°C
$3,258 Wol.
38%
20°C
$0 Wol.
9%
21°C
$0 Wol.
9%
22°C
$0 Wol.
6%
23°C
$0 Wol.
6%
24°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 4 near 18–19°C, driven by mild westerly flow off the Atlantic that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. Persistent high pressure and a lack of northerly advection have sustained above-normal overnight values compared to the 1991–2020 average low of 12.8°C, with ensemble guidance showing tight clustering around these levels rather than sharper drops. Minor model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow edge between 18°C and 19°C outcomes, while stronger winds or clearer skies could briefly favor the lower figure before dawn. Official Météo-France updates and overnight observations will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,324Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 4 near 18–19°C, driven by mild westerly flow off the Atlantic that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. Persistent high pressure and a lack of northerly advection have sustained above-normal overnight values compared to the 1991–2020 average low of 12.8°C, with ensemble guidance showing tight clustering around these levels rather than sharper drops. Minor model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow edge between 18°C and 19°C outcomes, while stronger winds or clearer skies could briefly favor the lower figure before dawn. Official Météo-France updates and overnight observations will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,324Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 4 near 18–19°C, driven by mild westerly flow off the Atlantic that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. Persistent high pressure and a lack of northerly advection have sustained above-normal overnight values compared to the 1991–2020 average low of 12.8°C, with ensemble guidance showing tight clustering around these levels rather than sharper drops. Minor model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow edge between 18°C and 19°C outcomes, while stronger winds or clearer skies could briefly favor the lower figure before dawn. Official Météo-France updates and overnight observations will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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