The market-implied odds favor a lowest temperature of 25–26°C in Seoul-Incheon on August 23, driven by typical late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions and persistent warm, humid air masses. Regional high-pressure systems and light steering flows have maintained elevated overnight minima near or above seasonal normals in recent weeks, with urban heat-island effects and broader warming trends further supporting these levels over cooler outcomes. Model consensus shows limited potential for significant cooling from fronts or typhoon influences through the short-term window, consistent with the combined 79.5% probability on 25–26°C. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours represent the primary upcoming data that could shift resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 23?
26°C 43%
25°C 37%
24°C 27%
23°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
6%
24°C
17%
25°C
37%
26°C
43%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 43%
25°C 37%
24°C 27%
23°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Wol.
1%
21°C
$10 Wol.
1%
22°C
$10 Wol.
5%
23°C
$84 Wol.
6%
24°C
$33 Wol.
17%
25°C
$21 Wol.
37%
26°C
$823 Wol.
43%
27°C
$0 Wol.
6%
28°C
$10 Wol.
3%
29°C
$10 Wol.
1%
30°C or higher
$23 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds favor a lowest temperature of 25–26°C in Seoul-Incheon on August 23, driven by typical late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions and persistent warm, humid air masses. Regional high-pressure systems and light steering flows have maintained elevated overnight minima near or above seasonal normals in recent weeks, with urban heat-island effects and broader warming trends further supporting these levels over cooler outcomes. Model consensus shows limited potential for significant cooling from fronts or typhoon influences through the short-term window, consistent with the combined 79.5% probability on 25–26°C. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours represent the primary upcoming data that could shift resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,030Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds favor a lowest temperature of 25–26°C in Seoul-Incheon on August 23, driven by typical late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions and persistent warm, humid air masses. Regional high-pressure systems and light steering flows have maintained elevated overnight minima near or above seasonal normals in recent weeks, with urban heat-island effects and broader warming trends further supporting these levels over cooler outcomes. Model consensus shows limited potential for significant cooling from fronts or typhoon influences through the short-term window, consistent with the combined 79.5% probability on 25–26°C. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours represent the primary upcoming data that could shift resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,030Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds favor a lowest temperature of 25–26°C in Seoul-Incheon on August 23, driven by typical late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions and persistent warm, humid air masses. Regional high-pressure systems and light steering flows have maintained elevated overnight minima near or above seasonal normals in recent weeks, with urban heat-island effects and broader warming trends further supporting these levels over cooler outcomes. Model consensus shows limited potential for significant cooling from fronts or typhoon influences through the short-term window, consistent with the combined 79.5% probability on 25–26°C. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours represent the primary upcoming data that could shift resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania