Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting models indicate a lowest temperature of 22–23°C for Incheon/Seoul on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain from a slow-moving front, and northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where typical overnight lows range 21–24°C amid humid maritime air. Heavy precipitation and overcast skies through the period reduce temperature extremes, anchoring trader consensus on 22°C as the most probable outcome while allowing modest probability for 21°C or 23°C depending on exact timing of any clearing. Updated KMA guidance and model runs ahead of resolution will provide the key inputs for final adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 31?
22°C 47%
23°C 23%
21°C 17%
25°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
17%
22°C
47%
23°C
23%
24°C
7%
25°C
16%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
22°C 47%
23°C 23%
21°C 17%
25°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
19°C
$0 Wol.
4%
20°C
$40 Wol.
6%
21°C
$290 Wol.
17%
22°C
$57 Wol.
47%
23°C
$130 Wol.
23%
24°C
$33 Wol.
7%
25°C
$0 Wol.
16%
26°C
$0 Wol.
2%
27°C
$0 Wol.
1%
28°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting models indicate a lowest temperature of 22–23°C for Incheon/Seoul on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain from a slow-moving front, and northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where typical overnight lows range 21–24°C amid humid maritime air. Heavy precipitation and overcast skies through the period reduce temperature extremes, anchoring trader consensus on 22°C as the most probable outcome while allowing modest probability for 21°C or 23°C depending on exact timing of any clearing. Updated KMA guidance and model runs ahead of resolution will provide the key inputs for final adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$550Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting models indicate a lowest temperature of 22–23°C for Incheon/Seoul on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain from a slow-moving front, and northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where typical overnight lows range 21–24°C amid humid maritime air. Heavy precipitation and overcast skies through the period reduce temperature extremes, anchoring trader consensus on 22°C as the most probable outcome while allowing modest probability for 21°C or 23°C depending on exact timing of any clearing. Updated KMA guidance and model runs ahead of resolution will provide the key inputs for final adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$550Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting models indicate a lowest temperature of 22–23°C for Incheon/Seoul on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain from a slow-moving front, and northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where typical overnight lows range 21–24°C amid humid maritime air. Heavy precipitation and overcast skies through the period reduce temperature extremes, anchoring trader consensus on 22°C as the most probable outcome while allowing modest probability for 21°C or 23°C depending on exact timing of any clearing. Updated KMA guidance and model runs ahead of resolution will provide the key inputs for final adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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