**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–26°C minima for Taipei on September 4, reflecting model agreement on persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and light winds under a broad low-pressure band and distant typhoon influences.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight temperatures holding near 24–26°C amid 90–100% rain probabilities and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Differentiating factors between the leading outcomes include small variations in cloud thickness, timing of heaviest precipitation, and boundary-layer moisture: thicker stratiform clouds and sustained light rain favor the 26°C outcome by suppressing nocturnal temperature drops, while clearer breaks or slightly drier air could allow brief dips toward 25°C. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 23–24°C, but the current synoptic setup—with easterly to southerly flow and elevated dew points—supports the warmer bias seen in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and CWA briefings through September 3 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Taipei on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on September 4?
28°C 86%
22°C 84%
27°C 83%
29°C 83%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
14%
22°C
84%
23°C
82%
24°C
42%
25°C
47%
26°C
51%
27°C
83%
28°C
86%
29°C
83%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
14%
28°C 86%
22°C 84%
27°C 83%
29°C 83%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Wol.
14%
22°C
$0 Wol.
84%
23°C
$0 Wol.
82%
24°C
$8 Wol.
42%
25°C
$0 Wol.
47%
26°C
$0 Wol.
51%
27°C
$0 Wol.
83%
28°C
$0 Wol.
86%
29°C
$0 Wol.
83%
30°C
$0 Wol.
2%
31°C or higher
$0 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–26°C minima for Taipei on September 4, reflecting model agreement on persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and light winds under a broad low-pressure band and distant typhoon influences.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight temperatures holding near 24–26°C amid 90–100% rain probabilities and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Differentiating factors between the leading outcomes include small variations in cloud thickness, timing of heaviest precipitation, and boundary-layer moisture: thicker stratiform clouds and sustained light rain favor the 26°C outcome by suppressing nocturnal temperature drops, while clearer breaks or slightly drier air could allow brief dips toward 25°C. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 23–24°C, but the current synoptic setup—with easterly to southerly flow and elevated dew points—supports the warmer bias seen in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and CWA briefings through September 3 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$8Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–26°C minima for Taipei on September 4, reflecting model agreement on persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and light winds under a broad low-pressure band and distant typhoon influences.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight temperatures holding near 24–26°C amid 90–100% rain probabilities and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Differentiating factors between the leading outcomes include small variations in cloud thickness, timing of heaviest precipitation, and boundary-layer moisture: thicker stratiform clouds and sustained light rain favor the 26°C outcome by suppressing nocturnal temperature drops, while clearer breaks or slightly drier air could allow brief dips toward 25°C. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 23–24°C, but the current synoptic setup—with easterly to southerly flow and elevated dew points—supports the warmer bias seen in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and CWA briefings through September 3 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–26°C minima for Taipei on September 4, reflecting model agreement on persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and light winds under a broad low-pressure band and distant typhoon influences.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight temperatures holding near 24–26°C amid 90–100% rain probabilities and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Differentiating factors between the leading outcomes include small variations in cloud thickness, timing of heaviest precipitation, and boundary-layer moisture: thicker stratiform clouds and sustained light rain favor the 26°C outcome by suppressing nocturnal temperature drops, while clearer breaks or slightly drier air could allow brief dips toward 25°C. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 23–24°C, but the current synoptic setup—with easterly to southerly flow and elevated dew points—supports the warmer bias seen in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and CWA briefings through September 3 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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