The open-seat race in Montana’s 1st Congressional District features Republican Aaron Flint, who won his June 2 primary with backing from former President Trump, against Democrat Sam Forstag, who prevailed in his primary. The district carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and was held by retiring Republican Ryan Zinke, who won reelection in 2024 by roughly eight points. A late-June internal poll showed the nominees tied, yet nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely or Lean Republican. National party committees on both sides have prioritized the race, but the underlying partisan composition and primary outcomes continue to underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee ahead of the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
57%
Democratic Party
42%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,150 Wol.
57%
Democratic Party
$2,856 Wol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat race in Montana’s 1st Congressional District features Republican Aaron Flint, who won his June 2 primary with backing from former President Trump, against Democrat Sam Forstag, who prevailed in his primary. The district carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and was held by retiring Republican Ryan Zinke, who won reelection in 2024 by roughly eight points. A late-June internal poll showed the nominees tied, yet nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely or Lean Republican. National party committees on both sides have prioritized the race, but the underlying partisan composition and primary outcomes continue to underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,006Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat race in Montana’s 1st Congressional District features Republican Aaron Flint, who won his June 2 primary with backing from former President Trump, against Democrat Sam Forstag, who prevailed in his primary. The district carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and was held by retiring Republican Ryan Zinke, who won reelection in 2024 by roughly eight points. A late-June internal poll showed the nominees tied, yet nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely or Lean Republican. National party committees on both sides have prioritized the race, but the underlying partisan composition and primary outcomes continue to underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$7,006Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...The open-seat race in Montana’s 1st Congressional District features Republican Aaron Flint, who won his June 2 primary with backing from former President Trump, against Democrat Sam Forstag, who prevailed in his primary. The district carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and was held by retiring Republican Ryan Zinke, who won reelection in 2024 by roughly eight points. A late-June internal poll showed the nominees tied, yet nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely or Lean Republican. National party committees on both sides have prioritized the race, but the underlying partisan composition and primary outcomes continue to underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee ahead of the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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