Recent polling shows the CAQ's support collapsing to 16-19% in the final week before the October 5 Quebec election, driven by widespread voter desire for change and gains by the PQ, Liberals, and Conservatives. Seat projections from aggregators now range from zero to low single digits for the CAQ, reflecting its uniform but thinning support and losses in key francophone ridings. Traders assign the highest probability to 5+ seats amid lingering uncertainty over whether the party can hold traditional strongholds or face a near wipeout, while elevated odds on zero or one seat capture the risk of further erosion before election day. This dynamic underscores the competitive pressure on the incumbent amid shifting voter intentions.