OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 8, 2026, combined with its March 2026 private funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader sentiment for the IPO closing market cap. Market-implied odds currently price the strongest probability on outcomes above $1.5 trillion, reflecting expectations that AI-driven revenue momentum—now exceeding a $25 billion annualized run rate—will command a public-market premium despite projected cash burn above $25 billion in 2026 and breakeven not anticipated before 2029–2030. Recent legal resolution with Elon Musk and banker preparations for a potential September or late-2026 debut further support elevated valuations, though high execution risk and sector volatility could moderate the outcome relative to private benchmarks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano1.5T+ 29.3%
1.25T–1.5T 21%
1T–1.25T 16.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
$45,090 Wol.
$45,090 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
3%
500–750B
5%
750B–1T
13%
1T–1.25T
16%
1.25T–1.5T
21%
1.5T+
29%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.5T+ 29.3%
1.25T–1.5T 21%
1T–1.25T 16.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
$45,090 Wol.
$45,090 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$1,985 Wol.
3%
500–750B
$3,605 Wol.
5%
750B–1T
$3,346 Wol.
13%
1T–1.25T
$7,483 Wol.
16%
1.25T–1.5T
$3,516 Wol.
21%
1.5T+
$9,825 Wol.
29%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$15,331 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 8, 2026, combined with its March 2026 private funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader sentiment for the IPO closing market cap. Market-implied odds currently price the strongest probability on outcomes above $1.5 trillion, reflecting expectations that AI-driven revenue momentum—now exceeding a $25 billion annualized run rate—will command a public-market premium despite projected cash burn above $25 billion in 2026 and breakeven not anticipated before 2029–2030. Recent legal resolution with Elon Musk and banker preparations for a potential September or late-2026 debut further support elevated valuations, though high execution risk and sector volatility could moderate the outcome relative to private benchmarks.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$45,090Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 8, 2026, combined with its March 2026 private funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader sentiment for the IPO closing market cap. Market-implied odds currently price the strongest probability on outcomes above $1.5 trillion, reflecting expectations that AI-driven revenue momentum—now exceeding a $25 billion annualized run rate—will command a public-market premium despite projected cash burn above $25 billion in 2026 and breakeven not anticipated before 2029–2030. Recent legal resolution with Elon Musk and banker preparations for a potential September or late-2026 debut further support elevated valuations, though high execution risk and sector volatility could moderate the outcome relative to private benchmarks.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$45,090Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 8, 2026, combined with its March 2026 private funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader sentiment for the IPO closing market cap. Market-implied odds currently price the strongest probability on outcomes above $1.5 trillion, reflecting expectations that AI-driven revenue momentum—now exceeding a $25 billion annualized run rate—will command a public-market premium despite projected cash burn above $25 billion in 2026 and breakeven not anticipated before 2029–2030. Recent legal resolution with Elon Musk and banker preparations for a potential September or late-2026 debut further support elevated valuations, though high execution risk and sector volatility could moderate the outcome relative to private benchmarks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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