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icon for Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
Polityka·Prawybory

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

icon for Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
Polityka·Prawybory

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Dem-Rep 73%

Rep-Rep 35.9%

Dem-Dem 19%

Polymarket

$72,104 Wol.

Dem-Rep 73%

Rep-Rep 35.9%

Dem-Dem 19%

Polymarket

$72,104 Wol.

icon for Dem-Rep

Dem-Rep

$30,397 Wol.

73%

icon for Rep-Rep

Rep-Rep

$11,695 Wol.

36%

icon for Dem-Dem

Dem-Dem

$30,012 Wol.

19%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's top-two primary for governor on June 2, trader consensus favors a Democrat-Republican matchup at 73.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing a fragmented Democratic field—Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and Katie Porter splitting votes—while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco poll competitively for second place. Emerson (May 9-10) and Kreate Strategies (May 5-9) surveys place Hilton at 17-22%, Becerra at 20%, Steyer at 14-19%, and Bianco at 12-13%, with undecideds at 12-23%. This mirrors 2018 dynamics, boosting Dem-Rep odds; Rep-Rep at 29.4% reflects upset potential from Dem disunity, while Dem-Dem trails at 24% absent a clear frontrunner. Final debate momentum and economic concerns as top voter issues add volatility ahead of ballots mailing.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.

In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Wolumen
$72,104
Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's top-two primary for governor on June 2, trader consensus favors a Democrat-Republican matchup at 73.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing a fragmented Democratic field—Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and Katie Porter splitting votes—while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco poll competitively for second place. Emerson (May 9-10) and Kreate Strategies (May 5-9) surveys place Hilton at 17-22%, Becerra at 20%, Steyer at 14-19%, and Bianco at 12-13%, with undecideds at 12-23%. This mirrors 2018 dynamics, boosting Dem-Rep odds; Rep-Rep at 29.4% reflects upset potential from Dem disunity, while Dem-Dem trails at 24% absent a clear frontrunner. Final debate momentum and economic concerns as top voter issues add volatility ahead of ballots mailing.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.

In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Wolumen
$72,104
Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 3 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Dem-Rep" z 73%, za nim "Rep-Rep" z 36%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 73¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 73% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?" wygenerował $72.1K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Dec 22, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?", przeglądaj 3 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?" jest "Dem-Rep" z 73%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 73% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Rep-Rep" z 36%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.