**Heavy early-month rainfall and an active southwest monsoon trough are positioning above-average June totals as the market favorite.** With 199.5 mm recorded through June 11—roughly half the historical monthly average of ~400–450 mm—Hong Kong has already seen multiple rainstorm warnings and periods of intense thunderstorms driven by monsoon flow. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory favors normal to below-normal rainfall for the June–August period overall, yet persistent low-pressure patterns and forecast heavy showers through mid-June are sustaining trader expectations for totals exceeding 500 mm. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether late-month tropical cyclone activity or drier steering patterns materialize, with new model runs and daily rainfall updates likely to influence positioning in the coming weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPrecipitation in Hong Kong in June?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?
500mm+ 62%
475-500mm 10%
375-400mm 7%
400-425mm 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2026
<350mm
2%
350-375mm
12%
375-400mm
7%
400-425mm
7%
425-450mm
5%
450-475mm
5%
475-500mm
10%
500mm+
62%
500mm+ 62%
475-500mm 10%
375-400mm 7%
400-425mm 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2026
<350mm
$449 Wol.
2%
350-375mm
$505 Wol.
12%
375-400mm
$456 Wol.
7%
400-425mm
$277 Wol.
7%
425-450mm
$315 Wol.
5%
450-475mm
$373 Wol.
5%
475-500mm
$471 Wol.
10%
500mm+
$758 Wol.
62%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Heavy early-month rainfall and an active southwest monsoon trough are positioning above-average June totals as the market favorite.** With 199.5 mm recorded through June 11—roughly half the historical monthly average of ~400–450 mm—Hong Kong has already seen multiple rainstorm warnings and periods of intense thunderstorms driven by monsoon flow. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory favors normal to below-normal rainfall for the June–August period overall, yet persistent low-pressure patterns and forecast heavy showers through mid-June are sustaining trader expectations for totals exceeding 500 mm. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether late-month tropical cyclone activity or drier steering patterns materialize, with new model runs and daily rainfall updates likely to influence positioning in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,605Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Heavy early-month rainfall and an active southwest monsoon trough are positioning above-average June totals as the market favorite.** With 199.5 mm recorded through June 11—roughly half the historical monthly average of ~400–450 mm—Hong Kong has already seen multiple rainstorm warnings and periods of intense thunderstorms driven by monsoon flow. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory favors normal to below-normal rainfall for the June–August period overall, yet persistent low-pressure patterns and forecast heavy showers through mid-June are sustaining trader expectations for totals exceeding 500 mm. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether late-month tropical cyclone activity or drier steering patterns materialize, with new model runs and daily rainfall updates likely to influence positioning in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$3,605Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Heavy early-month rainfall and an active southwest monsoon trough are positioning above-average June totals as the market favorite.** With 199.5 mm recorded through June 11—roughly half the historical monthly average of ~400–450 mm—Hong Kong has already seen multiple rainstorm warnings and periods of intense thunderstorms driven by monsoon flow. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory favors normal to below-normal rainfall for the June–August period overall, yet persistent low-pressure patterns and forecast heavy showers through mid-June are sustaining trader expectations for totals exceeding 500 mm. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether late-month tropical cyclone activity or drier steering patterns materialize, with new model runs and daily rainfall updates likely to influence positioning in the coming weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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