Incumbent Democrat Henry Cuellar secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Tano Tijerina in the redrawn South Texas district. Recent polling from June and July shows Cuellar holding narrow leads of 4–6 points, consistent with the district’s large Hispanic electorate and Cuellar’s long-standing local profile despite map changes that boosted the area’s Republican presidential performance. Forecasters rate the seat as competitive but place Cuellar in the favored position, reflecting limited recent campaign developments or shifts in voter sentiment that would alter the current trader consensus on a Democratic hold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-28 House Election Winner
TX-28 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
82%
Republican Party
18%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,266 Wol.
82%
Republican Party
$2,330 Wol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Henry Cuellar secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Tano Tijerina in the redrawn South Texas district. Recent polling from June and July shows Cuellar holding narrow leads of 4–6 points, consistent with the district’s large Hispanic electorate and Cuellar’s long-standing local profile despite map changes that boosted the area’s Republican presidential performance. Forecasters rate the seat as competitive but place Cuellar in the favored position, reflecting limited recent campaign developments or shifts in voter sentiment that would alter the current trader consensus on a Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,597Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Henry Cuellar secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Tano Tijerina in the redrawn South Texas district. Recent polling from June and July shows Cuellar holding narrow leads of 4–6 points, consistent with the district’s large Hispanic electorate and Cuellar’s long-standing local profile despite map changes that boosted the area’s Republican presidential performance. Forecasters rate the seat as competitive but place Cuellar in the favored position, reflecting limited recent campaign developments or shifts in voter sentiment that would alter the current trader consensus on a Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$4,597Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Henry Cuellar secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Tano Tijerina in the redrawn South Texas district. Recent polling from June and July shows Cuellar holding narrow leads of 4–6 points, consistent with the district’s large Hispanic electorate and Cuellar’s long-standing local profile despite map changes that boosted the area’s Republican presidential performance. Forecasters rate the seat as competitive but place Cuellar in the favored position, reflecting limited recent campaign developments or shifts in voter sentiment that would alter the current trader consensus on a Democratic hold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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