California's June 2 top-two primary for governor features a fragmented Democratic field against two prominent Republicans, with recent polls showing former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra surging to a narrow lead at 19 percent, tied closely with Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer near 17 percent amid high undecided voter shares. Trump's endorsement of Hilton has consolidated some Republican support and reduced the risk of two GOP candidates advancing, while a recent debate highlighted attacks on Becerra's record from rivals. Key factors include endorsements from figures like Pelosi or Harris, polling trends among key voting blocs, and the nonpartisan structure that rewards broad appeal over party strength. The outcome hinges on turnout in the final weeks and any late shifts from undecided voters or additional high-profile backing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$661,188 Wol.
Steve Hilton
74%
Xavier Becerra
68%
Tom Steyer
45%
Matt Mahan
6%
Chad Bianco
3%
Ethan Agarwal
3%
Jimmy Parker
2%
Ryan Tillman
2%
Elaine Culotti
2%
Antonio Villaraigosa
2%
Katie Porter
2%
David Thelen
2%
Nicki Minaj
2%
Thunder Parley
2%
Ché Ahn
2%
Ian Calderon
2%
Raji Rab
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Kyle Langford
1%
Leonard Jackson
1%
Butch Ware
1%
Carolina Buhler
1%
Betty Yee
1%
Derek Grasty
1%
Eric Swalwell
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
Daniel Mercuri
1%
Javen Allen
7%
Tony Thurmond
1%
David Serpa
1%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Nicholas Thompson
1%
Leo Zacky
1%
Dylan Colbert
1%
Sharifah Hardie
<1%
$661,188 Wol.
Steve Hilton
74%
Xavier Becerra
68%
Tom Steyer
45%
Matt Mahan
6%
Chad Bianco
3%
Ethan Agarwal
3%
Jimmy Parker
2%
Ryan Tillman
2%
Elaine Culotti
2%
Antonio Villaraigosa
2%
Katie Porter
2%
David Thelen
2%
Nicki Minaj
2%
Thunder Parley
2%
Ché Ahn
2%
Ian Calderon
2%
Raji Rab
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Kyle Langford
1%
Leonard Jackson
1%
Butch Ware
1%
Carolina Buhler
1%
Betty Yee
1%
Derek Grasty
1%
Eric Swalwell
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
Daniel Mercuri
1%
Javen Allen
7%
Tony Thurmond
1%
David Serpa
1%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Nicholas Thompson
1%
Leo Zacky
1%
Dylan Colbert
1%
Sharifah Hardie
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's June 2 top-two primary for governor features a fragmented Democratic field against two prominent Republicans, with recent polls showing former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra surging to a narrow lead at 19 percent, tied closely with Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer near 17 percent amid high undecided voter shares. Trump's endorsement of Hilton has consolidated some Republican support and reduced the risk of two GOP candidates advancing, while a recent debate highlighted attacks on Becerra's record from rivals. Key factors include endorsements from figures like Pelosi or Harris, polling trends among key voting blocs, and the nonpartisan structure that rewards broad appeal over party strength. The outcome hinges on turnout in the final weeks and any late shifts from undecided voters or additional high-profile backing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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