**U.S. retail gasoline prices currently average $4.09 per gallon nationally as of late August 2026, supported by WTI crude near $82 per barrel amid ongoing volatility in the Strait of Hormuz.** Geopolitical tensions have kept oil benchmarks elevated despite record U.S. production and refinery output, with seasonal summer-blend requirements adding to costs. Trader sentiment on near-term price thresholds reflects these macro factors plus expected seasonal relief from the September transition to lower-cost winter-blend gasoline and an EPA emergency waiver effective September 1 that expands supply by easing Reid Vapor Pressure rules. Key swing variables include any de-escalation in Middle East shipping lanes, weekly EIA inventory data, and demand trends as driving season winds down; elevated storage levels and robust domestic output provide a buffer against sharp upside moves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNOWE
Sep 30, 2026
↑ $4.50
39%
↑ $4.40
47%
↑ $4.30
50%
↑ $4.20
54%
↓ $4.00
55%
↓ $3.90
48%
↓ $3.70
39%
↓ $3.50
33%
$0.00 Wol.
↑ $4.50
$0 Wol.
39%
↑ $4.40
$0 Wol.
47%
↑ $4.30
$0 Wol.
50%
↑ $4.20
$0 Wol.
54%
↓ $4.00
$0 Wol.
55%
↓ $3.90
$0 Wol.
48%
↓ $3.70
$0 Wol.
39%
↓ $3.50
$0 Wol.
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".**U.S. retail gasoline prices currently average $4.09 per gallon nationally as of late August 2026, supported by WTI crude near $82 per barrel amid ongoing volatility in the Strait of Hormuz.** Geopolitical tensions have kept oil benchmarks elevated despite record U.S. production and refinery output, with seasonal summer-blend requirements adding to costs. Trader sentiment on near-term price thresholds reflects these macro factors plus expected seasonal relief from the September transition to lower-cost winter-blend gasoline and an EPA emergency waiver effective September 1 that expands supply by easing Reid Vapor Pressure rules. Key swing variables include any de-escalation in Middle East shipping lanes, weekly EIA inventory data, and demand trends as driving season winds down; elevated storage levels and robust domestic output provide a buffer against sharp upside moves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".**U.S. retail gasoline prices currently average $4.09 per gallon nationally as of late August 2026, supported by WTI crude near $82 per barrel amid ongoing volatility in the Strait of Hormuz.** Geopolitical tensions have kept oil benchmarks elevated despite record U.S. production and refinery output, with seasonal summer-blend requirements adding to costs. Trader sentiment on near-term price thresholds reflects these macro factors plus expected seasonal relief from the September transition to lower-cost winter-blend gasoline and an EPA emergency waiver effective September 1 that expands supply by easing Reid Vapor Pressure rules. Key swing variables include any de-escalation in Middle East shipping lanes, weekly EIA inventory data, and demand trends as driving season winds down; elevated storage levels and robust domestic output provide a buffer against sharp upside moves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**U.S. retail gasoline prices currently average $4.09 per gallon nationally as of late August 2026, supported by WTI crude near $82 per barrel amid ongoing volatility in the Strait of Hormuz.** Geopolitical tensions have kept oil benchmarks elevated despite record U.S. production and refinery output, with seasonal summer-blend requirements adding to costs. Trader sentiment on near-term price thresholds reflects these macro factors plus expected seasonal relief from the September transition to lower-cost winter-blend gasoline and an EPA emergency waiver effective September 1 that expands supply by easing Reid Vapor Pressure rules. Key swing variables include any de-escalation in Middle East shipping lanes, weekly EIA inventory data, and demand trends as driving season winds down; elevated storage levels and robust domestic output provide a buffer against sharp upside moves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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