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Retail predictions & odds

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Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Jordan Bardella

$71M Vol.

$2M today

$6M Liq.

502

Ends in 12 months

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

90%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$47.9K Vol.

$279K Liq.

16

Ends in 11 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

94%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Ralph Lauren Q4 comparable store sales growth?

Ralph Lauren Q4 comparable store sales growth?

47%

<6%

$0 Vol.

$70 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

June 30, 2027

$478K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

33

Home Depot Q1 comparable sales growth?

Home Depot Q1 comparable sales growth?

51%

<0%

$0 Vol.

$182 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Lowe's Q1 comparable sales growth?

Lowe's Q1 comparable sales growth?

47%

<0%

$0 Vol.

$112 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Target Q1 comparable sales growth?

Target Q1 comparable sales growth?

74%

<-1%

$5.5K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

70%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

8%

↓ 2 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Which flavors will JUUL relaunch in 2026?

Which flavors will JUUL relaunch in 2026?

65%

Mango

$14 Vol.

$503 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Walmart Q1 US comparable sales growth (without fuel)?

Walmart Q1 US comparable sales growth (without fuel)?

47%

4.3%–4.6%

$0 Vol.

$117 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

CAVA Q1 same restaurant sales growth?

CAVA Q1 same restaurant sales growth?

48%

<2%

$0 Vol.

$102 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

77%

↑ 14,000

$49.9K Vol.

$51.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$137K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

10

What floor price will CryptoPunks hit before 2027?

What floor price will CryptoPunks hit before 2027?

45%

↓ 20 ETH

$15.0K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above __?

Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above __?

41%

$1.65B

$32 Vol.

$168 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

86%

$170 billion

$350 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 12 months

Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above __ ?

Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above __ ?

51%

$660M

$0 Vol.

$94 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

56%

Disguised

$66 Vol.

$34.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Retail.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Retail that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next French Presidential Election”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $74.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next French Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next French Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to Jordan Bardella. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Retail predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.