Recent developments in French politics have elevated Jordan Bardella as the frontrunner for the National Rally's 2027 presidential nomination, reflecting trader consensus on his role as the party's primary standard-bearer. Marine Le Pen's 2025 conviction for misuse of European Parliament funds, which includes a five-year ban from public office pending appeal, has accelerated the party's generational transition. Bardella, the party's president, has consolidated support through strong polling performances exceeding 35 percent in first-round scenarios and recent gains in municipal elections. The Paris Court of Appeal's July 7 ruling on Le Pen's eligibility remains a key uncertainty that could alter the outcome, though current positioning favors Bardella amid the party's broader efforts to expand its voter base ahead of the April 2027 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição presidencial francesa de 2027: candidata à manifestação nacional
Eleição presidencial francesa de 2027: candidata à manifestação nacional
Jordan Bardella 74%
Marine Le Pen 25%
Multiple Candidates 3.4%
NOVO
NOVO
23 abr 2027
Marine Le Pen
25%
Jordan Bardella
74%
Multiple Candidates
3%
Jordan Bardella 74%
Marine Le Pen 25%
Multiple Candidates 3.4%
NOVO
NOVO
23 abr 2027
Marine Le Pen
$1,058 Vol.
25%
Jordan Bardella
$2,120 Vol.
74%
Multiple Candidates
$554 Vol.
3%
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in French politics have elevated Jordan Bardella as the frontrunner for the National Rally's 2027 presidential nomination, reflecting trader consensus on his role as the party's primary standard-bearer. Marine Le Pen's 2025 conviction for misuse of European Parliament funds, which includes a five-year ban from public office pending appeal, has accelerated the party's generational transition. Bardella, the party's president, has consolidated support through strong polling performances exceeding 35 percent in first-round scenarios and recent gains in municipal elections. The Paris Court of Appeal's July 7 ruling on Le Pen's eligibility remains a key uncertainty that could alter the outcome, though current positioning favors Bardella amid the party's broader efforts to expand its voter base ahead of the April 2027 vote.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Volume
$3,732Data de Término
23 abr 2027Mercado Aberto
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in French politics have elevated Jordan Bardella as the frontrunner for the National Rally's 2027 presidential nomination, reflecting trader consensus on his role as the party's primary standard-bearer. Marine Le Pen's 2025 conviction for misuse of European Parliament funds, which includes a five-year ban from public office pending appeal, has accelerated the party's generational transition. Bardella, the party's president, has consolidated support through strong polling performances exceeding 35 percent in first-round scenarios and recent gains in municipal elections. The Paris Court of Appeal's July 7 ruling on Le Pen's eligibility remains a key uncertainty that could alter the outcome, though current positioning favors Bardella amid the party's broader efforts to expand its voter base ahead of the April 2027 vote.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,732Data de Término
23 abr 2027Mercado Aberto
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments in French politics have elevated Jordan Bardella as the frontrunner for the National Rally's 2027 presidential nomination, reflecting trader consensus on his role as the party's primary standard-bearer. Marine Le Pen's 2025 conviction for misuse of European Parliament funds, which includes a five-year ban from public office pending appeal, has accelerated the party's generational transition. Bardella, the party's president, has consolidated support through strong polling performances exceeding 35 percent in first-round scenarios and recent gains in municipal elections. The Paris Court of Appeal's July 7 ruling on Le Pen's eligibility remains a key uncertainty that could alter the outcome, though current positioning favors Bardella amid the party's broader efforts to expand its voter base ahead of the April 2027 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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