The Brazilian Senate has never removed a Supreme Court justice in the modern era, reflecting the high constitutional threshold and lack of sufficient votes for impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes. Recent developments reinforce this stability, including his May 9, 2026, monocratic ruling suspending a new sentencing law that would have reduced terms for Jair Bolsonaro and others convicted in coup-related cases, pending full court review of constitutionality challenges. U.S. sanctions imposed on Moraes in 2025 were lifted by December, easing external pressure, while opposition calls for removal have not advanced through legislative committees or floor votes. These factors align with trader consensus favoring his continued tenure through at least the end of 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$27,474 Vol.
$27,474 Vol.
Sim
$27,474 Vol.
$27,474 Vol.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Brazilian Senate has never removed a Supreme Court justice in the modern era, reflecting the high constitutional threshold and lack of sufficient votes for impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes. Recent developments reinforce this stability, including his May 9, 2026, monocratic ruling suspending a new sentencing law that would have reduced terms for Jair Bolsonaro and others convicted in coup-related cases, pending full court review of constitutionality challenges. U.S. sanctions imposed on Moraes in 2025 were lifted by December, easing external pressure, while opposition calls for removal have not advanced through legislative committees or floor votes. These factors align with trader consensus favoring his continued tenure through at least the end of 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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