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icon for Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

icon for Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

17% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
17% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The covered categories are: - Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump. - Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress. - Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden. - Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used. The Justice Department's recent pursuits of perceived Trump adversaries, including a second indictment of former FBI Director James Comey in late April over a social media post and fraud charges against the Southern Poverty Law Center, have encountered repeated judicial pushback and grand jury rejections, such as failed attempts to charge Democratic lawmakers in February. These procedural hurdles and the time required for new federal investigations to reach indictment stage explain the strong trader consensus against additional charges by the May 31 deadline. With only two weeks remaining and no major announcements or filings reported in the past month, the current 82.5% implied probability on "No" captures the limited window for swift action amid ongoing court challenges and institutional constraints.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The covered categories are:

- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.

- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.

- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.

- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$8,680
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 10:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The covered categories are: - Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump. - Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress. - Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden. - Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The covered categories are: - Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump. - Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress. - Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden. - Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used. The Justice Department's recent pursuits of perceived Trump adversaries, including a second indictment of former FBI Director James Comey in late April over a social media post and fraud charges against the Southern Poverty Law Center, have encountered repeated judicial pushback and grand jury rejections, such as failed attempts to charge Democratic lawmakers in February. These procedural hurdles and the time required for new federal investigations to reach indictment stage explain the strong trader consensus against additional charges by the May 31 deadline. With only two weeks remaining and no major announcements or filings reported in the past month, the current 82.5% implied probability on "No" captures the limited window for swift action amid ongoing court challenges and institutional constraints.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The covered categories are:

- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.

- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.

- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.

- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$8,680
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 10:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The covered categories are: - Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump. - Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress. - Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden. - Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 18% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 18¢, the market collectively assigns a 18% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?" is 18% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 18% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.