Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, with recent polling and structural factors reinforcing trader pricing of the Republican nominee near 70%. A Peak Insights survey conducted August 17-20 showed Crane leading Democratic nominee Jonathan Nez 53% to 42%, an 11-point margin in their rematch. The district’s rural character and Republican lean, combined with Crane’s incumbency since 2022 and primary strength, have sustained this positioning. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president who narrowed the 2024 gap, has not closed the deficit despite efforts to boost Native American turnout. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries, and nonpartisan ratings continue to classify the seat as Likely Republican. The Libertarian candidate remains a minor factor in the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da Eleição da Casa AZ-02
Vencedor da Eleição da Casa AZ-02
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
70%
Partido Democrata
29%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$1,468 Vol.
70%
Partido Democrata
$1,154 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, with recent polling and structural factors reinforcing trader pricing of the Republican nominee near 70%. A Peak Insights survey conducted August 17-20 showed Crane leading Democratic nominee Jonathan Nez 53% to 42%, an 11-point margin in their rematch. The district’s rural character and Republican lean, combined with Crane’s incumbency since 2022 and primary strength, have sustained this positioning. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president who narrowed the 2024 gap, has not closed the deficit despite efforts to boost Native American turnout. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries, and nonpartisan ratings continue to classify the seat as Likely Republican. The Libertarian candidate remains a minor factor in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Volume
$2,622Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, with recent polling and structural factors reinforcing trader pricing of the Republican nominee near 70%. A Peak Insights survey conducted August 17-20 showed Crane leading Democratic nominee Jonathan Nez 53% to 42%, an 11-point margin in their rematch. The district’s rural character and Republican lean, combined with Crane’s incumbency since 2022 and primary strength, have sustained this positioning. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president who narrowed the 2024 gap, has not closed the deficit despite efforts to boost Native American turnout. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries, and nonpartisan ratings continue to classify the seat as Likely Republican. The Libertarian candidate remains a minor factor in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$2,622Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, with recent polling and structural factors reinforcing trader pricing of the Republican nominee near 70%. A Peak Insights survey conducted August 17-20 showed Crane leading Democratic nominee Jonathan Nez 53% to 42%, an 11-point margin in their rematch. The district’s rural character and Republican lean, combined with Crane’s incumbency since 2022 and primary strength, have sustained this positioning. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president who narrowed the 2024 gap, has not closed the deficit despite efforts to boost Native American turnout. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries, and nonpartisan ratings continue to classify the seat as Likely Republican. The Libertarian candidate remains a minor factor in the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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