The Sacramento-area district's post-redistricting Democratic lean, rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee Richard Pan over independent Kevin Kiley in the November 3 general election. Kiley advanced from the June top-two primary after switching from the Republican Party, but the seat's voter registration and partisan voter index favor Democrats amid a national environment where generic ballot polling shows a Democratic advantage. A July survey indicated Pan leading Kiley narrowly with substantial undecided voters. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually high independent or Republican turnout, major campaign developments, or shifts in the final weeks before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-06
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-06
$50,822 Vol.
$50,822 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
96%
Partido Republicano
3%
$50,822 Vol.
$50,822 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$26,032 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$24,791 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Sacramento-area district's post-redistricting Democratic lean, rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee Richard Pan over independent Kevin Kiley in the November 3 general election. Kiley advanced from the June top-two primary after switching from the Republican Party, but the seat's voter registration and partisan voter index favor Democrats amid a national environment where generic ballot polling shows a Democratic advantage. A July survey indicated Pan leading Kiley narrowly with substantial undecided voters. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually high independent or Republican turnout, major campaign developments, or shifts in the final weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$50,822Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Sacramento-area district's post-redistricting Democratic lean, rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee Richard Pan over independent Kevin Kiley in the November 3 general election. Kiley advanced from the June top-two primary after switching from the Republican Party, but the seat's voter registration and partisan voter index favor Democrats amid a national environment where generic ballot polling shows a Democratic advantage. A July survey indicated Pan leading Kiley narrowly with substantial undecided voters. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually high independent or Republican turnout, major campaign developments, or shifts in the final weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$50,822Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Sacramento-area district's post-redistricting Democratic lean, rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee Richard Pan over independent Kevin Kiley in the November 3 general election. Kiley advanced from the June top-two primary after switching from the Republican Party, but the seat's voter registration and partisan voter index favor Democrats amid a national environment where generic ballot polling shows a Democratic advantage. A July survey indicated Pan leading Kiley narrowly with substantial undecided voters. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually high independent or Republican turnout, major campaign developments, or shifts in the final weeks before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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