Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60B–$70B range at 100% implied probability, reflecting the AI chipmaker's blockbuster Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS on May 14, 2026. Shares priced at $185 late Wednesday—implying a fully diluted $56.4 billion valuation and raising $5.55 billion in 2026's largest IPO—surged 68% to close at $311 amid 20x oversubscription and wafer-scale engine demand from hyperscalers like OpenAI. This pricing followed multiple range hikes from an initial $26.6 billion target, fueled by AI infrastructure spending and recent $1 billion Series H at $23 billion. Realistic challenges include after-hours volatility or profit-taking pushing below $60 billion, though sustained AI euphoria limits downside risk before July 2026 resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUS$ 60B–US$ 70B 100.0%
<US$ 50B <1%
US$ 50B–US$ 60B <1%
US$70B–US$80B <1%
$370,708 Vol.
$370,708 Vol.
14 mai 2026
<US$ 50B
Não
US$ 50B–US$ 60B
Não
US$ 60B–US$ 70B
Sim
US$70B–US$80B
Não
US$ 80B–US$ 90B
Não
US$90B–US$100B
Não
US$ 100B+
Não
Sem IPO antes de julho de 2026
Não
US$ 60B–US$ 70B 100.0%
<US$ 50B <1%
US$ 50B–US$ 60B <1%
US$70B–US$80B <1%
$370,708 Vol.
$370,708 Vol.
14 mai 2026
<US$ 50B
$63,574 Vol.
Não
US$ 50B–US$ 60B
$33,039 Vol.
Não
US$ 60B–US$ 70B
$53,433 Vol.
Sim
US$70B–US$80B
$30,446 Vol.
Não
US$ 80B–US$ 90B
$18,157 Vol.
Não
US$90B–US$100B
$60,701 Vol.
Não
US$ 100B+
$90,348 Vol.
Não
Sem IPO antes de julho de 2026
$21,009 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60B–$70B range at 100% implied probability, reflecting the AI chipmaker's blockbuster Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS on May 14, 2026. Shares priced at $185 late Wednesday—implying a fully diluted $56.4 billion valuation and raising $5.55 billion in 2026's largest IPO—surged 68% to close at $311 amid 20x oversubscription and wafer-scale engine demand from hyperscalers like OpenAI. This pricing followed multiple range hikes from an initial $26.6 billion target, fueled by AI infrastructure spending and recent $1 billion Series H at $23 billion. Realistic challenges include after-hours volatility or profit-taking pushing below $60 billion, though sustained AI euphoria limits downside risk before July 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$370,708Data de Término
14 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60B–$70B range at 100% implied probability, reflecting the AI chipmaker's blockbuster Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS on May 14, 2026. Shares priced at $185 late Wednesday—implying a fully diluted $56.4 billion valuation and raising $5.55 billion in 2026's largest IPO—surged 68% to close at $311 amid 20x oversubscription and wafer-scale engine demand from hyperscalers like OpenAI. This pricing followed multiple range hikes from an initial $26.6 billion target, fueled by AI infrastructure spending and recent $1 billion Series H at $23 billion. Realistic challenges include after-hours volatility or profit-taking pushing below $60 billion, though sustained AI euphoria limits downside risk before July 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$370,708Data de Término
14 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60B–$70B range at 100% implied probability, reflecting the AI chipmaker's blockbuster Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS on May 14, 2026. Shares priced at $185 late Wednesday—implying a fully diluted $56.4 billion valuation and raising $5.55 billion in 2026's largest IPO—surged 68% to close at $311 amid 20x oversubscription and wafer-scale engine demand from hyperscalers like OpenAI. This pricing followed multiple range hikes from an initial $26.6 billion target, fueled by AI infrastructure spending and recent $1 billion Series H at $23 billion. Realistic challenges include after-hours volatility or profit-taking pushing below $60 billion, though sustained AI euphoria limits downside risk before July 2026 resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions