Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 93.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap exceeding $50 billion, fueled by the AI chipmaker's aggressive upsizing of its offering announced May 11—now targeting 30 million shares at $150–$160 for up to $4.8 billion raised, implying a fully diluted valuation near $48.8 billion amid 20x oversubscription. Surging demand reflects 76% revenue growth to $510 million in 2025, a swing to $88 million net income, and blockbuster deals including OpenAI's $20 billion+ compute commitment and AWS as its first hyperscaler customer, positioning Cerebras as a Nvidia challenger in inference workloads. Realistic challenges include last-minute demand softening from broader AI sector volatility or macro risk-off sentiment ahead of Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS this week, potentially capping valuation below $50 billion.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$50B+ 95%
$40B–$50B 4.3%
$30B–$40B <1%
<$20B <1%
$132,201 Vol.
$132,201 Vol.
14 mai 2026
<$20B
<1%
$20B–$30B
<1%
$30B–$40B
1%
$40B–$50B
4%
$50B+
95%
No IPO before July 2026
<1%
$50B+ 95%
$40B–$50B 4.3%
$30B–$40B <1%
<$20B <1%
$132,201 Vol.
$132,201 Vol.
14 mai 2026
<$20B
$15,753 Vol.
<1%
$20B–$30B
$29,666 Vol.
<1%
$30B–$40B
$14,884 Vol.
1%
$40B–$50B
$20,743 Vol.
4%
$50B+
$36,984 Vol.
95%
No IPO before July 2026
$15,551 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 93.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap exceeding $50 billion, fueled by the AI chipmaker's aggressive upsizing of its offering announced May 11—now targeting 30 million shares at $150–$160 for up to $4.8 billion raised, implying a fully diluted valuation near $48.8 billion amid 20x oversubscription. Surging demand reflects 76% revenue growth to $510 million in 2025, a swing to $88 million net income, and blockbuster deals including OpenAI's $20 billion+ compute commitment and AWS as its first hyperscaler customer, positioning Cerebras as a Nvidia challenger in inference workloads. Realistic challenges include last-minute demand softening from broader AI sector volatility or macro risk-off sentiment ahead of Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS this week, potentially capping valuation below $50 billion.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Volume
$132,201Data de Término
14 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 93.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap exceeding $50 billion, fueled by the AI chipmaker's aggressive upsizing of its offering announced May 11—now targeting 30 million shares at $150–$160 for up to $4.8 billion raised, implying a fully diluted valuation near $48.8 billion amid 20x oversubscription. Surging demand reflects 76% revenue growth to $510 million in 2025, a swing to $88 million net income, and blockbuster deals including OpenAI's $20 billion+ compute commitment and AWS as its first hyperscaler customer, positioning Cerebras as a Nvidia challenger in inference workloads. Realistic challenges include last-minute demand softening from broader AI sector volatility or macro risk-off sentiment ahead of Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS this week, potentially capping valuation below $50 billion.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$132,201Data de Término
14 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 93.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap exceeding $50 billion, fueled by the AI chipmaker's aggressive upsizing of its offering announced May 11—now targeting 30 million shares at $150–$160 for up to $4.8 billion raised, implying a fully diluted valuation near $48.8 billion amid 20x oversubscription. Surging demand reflects 76% revenue growth to $510 million in 2025, a swing to $88 million net income, and blockbuster deals including OpenAI's $20 billion+ compute commitment and AWS as its first hyperscaler customer, positioning Cerebras as a Nvidia challenger in inference workloads. Realistic challenges include last-minute demand softening from broader AI sector volatility or macro risk-off sentiment ahead of Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS this week, potentially capping valuation below $50 billion.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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