Traders see the 180-199 and 200-219 tweet ranges as the tightest contest for Elon Musk’s X activity through May 22, with implied probabilities of 22.5% and 19.6% reflecting his historically variable weekly volume. Musk’s posting often accelerates during product updates or public debates yet dips in quieter stretches without major Tesla or SpaceX news, creating the current deadlock. Key differentiators include any late-week announcements or real-time responses that could push totals higher, while steady but unspectacular engagement metrics keep lower bins in play. The final days of the window remain the primary swing factor as platform activity and external events continue to influence daily output.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado180-199 23%
200-219 19.6%
160-179 17%
220-239 12.8%
$4,379,194 Vol.
$4,379,194 Vol.
22 mai 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
8%
160-179
17%
180-199
23%
200-219
20%
220-239
13%
240-259
8%
260-279
4%
280-299
2%
300-319
2%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 23%
200-219 19.6%
160-179 17%
220-239 12.8%
$4,379,194 Vol.
$4,379,194 Vol.
22 mai 2026
60-79
$260,849 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$282,843 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$248,930 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$181,198 Vol.
1%
140-159
$169,952 Vol.
8%
160-179
$136,264 Vol.
17%
180-199
$114,019 Vol.
23%
200-219
$161,138 Vol.
20%
220-239
$156,367 Vol.
13%
240-259
$117,165 Vol.
8%
260-279
$128,006 Vol.
4%
280-299
$119,008 Vol.
2%
300-319
$144,500 Vol.
2%
320-339
$123,947 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$145,991 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$136,455 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$161,140 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$168,844 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$238,020 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$121,203 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$125,876 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$168,834 Vol.
<1%
500+
$269,821 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 180-199 and 200-219 tweet ranges as the tightest contest for Elon Musk’s X activity through May 22, with implied probabilities of 22.5% and 19.6% reflecting his historically variable weekly volume. Musk’s posting often accelerates during product updates or public debates yet dips in quieter stretches without major Tesla or SpaceX news, creating the current deadlock. Key differentiators include any late-week announcements or real-time responses that could push totals higher, while steady but unspectacular engagement metrics keep lower bins in play. The final days of the window remain the primary swing factor as platform activity and external events continue to influence daily output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$4,379,194Data de Término
22 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 180-199 and 200-219 tweet ranges as the tightest contest for Elon Musk’s X activity through May 22, with implied probabilities of 22.5% and 19.6% reflecting his historically variable weekly volume. Musk’s posting often accelerates during product updates or public debates yet dips in quieter stretches without major Tesla or SpaceX news, creating the current deadlock. Key differentiators include any late-week announcements or real-time responses that could push totals higher, while steady but unspectacular engagement metrics keep lower bins in play. The final days of the window remain the primary swing factor as platform activity and external events continue to influence daily output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,379,194Data de Término
22 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 180-199 and 200-219 tweet ranges as the tightest contest for Elon Musk’s X activity through May 22, with implied probabilities of 22.5% and 19.6% reflecting his historically variable weekly volume. Musk’s posting often accelerates during product updates or public debates yet dips in quieter stretches without major Tesla or SpaceX news, creating the current deadlock. Key differentiators include any late-week announcements or real-time responses that could push totals higher, while steady but unspectacular engagement metrics keep lower bins in play. The final days of the window remain the primary swing factor as platform activity and external events continue to influence daily output.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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