Republican incumbent Scott Franklin benefits from structural advantages in Florida’s 18th Congressional District, including a partisan voting index that favors the GOP by double digits and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus at 82.5% for the Republican Party reflects these fundamentals plus Franklin’s unchallenged path through the August 18 primary and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers. The May 4 signing of a new congressional map by Governor Ron DeSantis further entrenched the seat as solid Republican territory, projecting a statewide 24-4 GOP advantage and reducing any Democratic path in the November 3 general election. Democratic primary contenders continue to split resources ahead of their August contest, with no recent polling indicating shifts in the race’s outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa FL-18
Vencedor da eleição da casa FL-18
$13,987 Vol.
$13,987 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
84%
Partido Democrata
16%
$13,987 Vol.
$13,987 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$7,382 Vol.
84%
Partido Democrata
$6,605 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Scott Franklin benefits from structural advantages in Florida’s 18th Congressional District, including a partisan voting index that favors the GOP by double digits and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus at 82.5% for the Republican Party reflects these fundamentals plus Franklin’s unchallenged path through the August 18 primary and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers. The May 4 signing of a new congressional map by Governor Ron DeSantis further entrenched the seat as solid Republican territory, projecting a statewide 24-4 GOP advantage and reducing any Democratic path in the November 3 general election. Democratic primary contenders continue to split resources ahead of their August contest, with no recent polling indicating shifts in the race’s outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$13,987Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Scott Franklin benefits from structural advantages in Florida’s 18th Congressional District, including a partisan voting index that favors the GOP by double digits and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus at 82.5% for the Republican Party reflects these fundamentals plus Franklin’s unchallenged path through the August 18 primary and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers. The May 4 signing of a new congressional map by Governor Ron DeSantis further entrenched the seat as solid Republican territory, projecting a statewide 24-4 GOP advantage and reducing any Democratic path in the November 3 general election. Democratic primary contenders continue to split resources ahead of their August contest, with no recent polling indicating shifts in the race’s outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,987Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Scott Franklin benefits from structural advantages in Florida’s 18th Congressional District, including a partisan voting index that favors the GOP by double digits and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus at 82.5% for the Republican Party reflects these fundamentals plus Franklin’s unchallenged path through the August 18 primary and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers. The May 4 signing of a new congressional map by Governor Ron DeSantis further entrenched the seat as solid Republican territory, projecting a statewide 24-4 GOP advantage and reducing any Democratic path in the November 3 general election. Democratic primary contenders continue to split resources ahead of their August contest, with no recent polling indicating shifts in the race’s outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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