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icon for A flotilha de Gaza entra em águas israelitas até 31 de maio?

A flotilha de Gaza entra em águas israelitas até 31 de maio?

icon for A flotilha de Gaza entra em águas israelitas até 31 de maio?

A flotilha de Gaza entra em águas israelitas até 31 de maio?

Sim

37% chance
Polymarket

$150,101 Vol.

Sim

37% chance
Polymarket

$150,101 Vol.

A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Israel maintains its naval blockade of Gaza through consistent interceptions of civilian vessels attempting to reach the territory, as demonstrated by the April 30, 2026, boarding of over 20 boats from the Global Sumud Flotilla in international waters near Crete. Subsequent regrouped missions, including departures from Turkey on May 14 and Greece on May 13, continue to test the blockade amid ongoing diplomatic and security measures. These enforcement patterns, combined with the time required for vessels to cover the remaining distance, underpin trader consensus that entry into Israeli waters remains unlikely by the May 31 resolution date, reflecting repeated historical outcomes in similar efforts.

A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$150,101
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Israel maintains its naval blockade of Gaza through consistent interceptions of civilian vessels attempting to reach the territory, as demonstrated by the April 30, 2026, boarding of over 20 boats from the Global Sumud Flotilla in international waters near Crete. Subsequent regrouped missions, including departures from Turkey on May 14 and Greece on May 13, continue to test the blockade amid ongoing diplomatic and security measures. These enforcement patterns, combined with the time required for vessels to cover the remaining distance, underpin trader consensus that entry into Israeli waters remains unlikely by the May 31 resolution date, reflecting repeated historical outcomes in similar efforts.

A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$150,101
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"A flotilha de Gaza entra em águas israelitas até 31 de maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A frota de Gaza entra em águas israelenses até 31 de maio?" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A flotilha de Gaza entra em águas israelitas até 31 de maio?" has generated $150.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A flotilha de Gaza entra em águas israelitas até 31 de maio?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A flotilha de Gaza entra em águas israelitas até 31 de maio?" is "A frota de Gaza entra em águas israelenses até 31 de maio?" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A flotilha de Gaza entra em águas israelitas até 31 de maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.