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Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?

icon for Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?

Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?

dez 31

dez 31

Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia 91%

Vingadores: Juízo Final 8%

A Odisséia <1%

Duna: Messias <1%

Polymarket

$16,604,775 Vol.

Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia 91%

Vingadores: Juízo Final 8%

A Odisséia <1%

Duna: Messias <1%

Polymarket

$16,604,775 Vol.

Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia

$527,325 Vol.

91%

Vingadores: Juízo Final

$725,704 Vol.

8%

A Odisséia

$797,230 Vol.

1%

Duna: Messias

$623,551 Vol.

1%

Super Mario Galaxy: O Filme

$568,381 Vol.

<1%

Wicked: For Good

$2,177,911 Vol.

<1%

Scream 7

$2,427,399 Vol.

<1%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu

$803,023 Vol.

<1%

Jogos Vorazes: O Alvorecer da Colheita

$1,163,814 Vol.

<1%

O Morro dos Ventos Uivantes

$2,293,465 Vol.

<1%

Michael

$1,288,200 Vol.

<1%

Toy Story 5

$601,202 Vol.

<1%

Projeto Hail Mary

$1,417,169 Vol.

<1%

Jumanji 3

$1,190,401 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering global opening of $927 million has anchored the overwhelming market-implied odds at 91 percent, reflecting traders’ confidence in the MCU’s franchise momentum, Tom Holland’s star power, and strong audience demand for superhero tentpoles. Historical patterns show that films with openings above $800 million rarely finish outside the year’s top two, and early tracking plus premium-format sales reinforce expectations of substantial legs through the summer and holiday windows. Avengers: Doomsday sits at a distant 7.5 percent because its later release date leaves room for competitive pressure, while lower-probability titles like The Odyssey, Dune: Messiah, and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie face steeper paths given their current trajectories or earlier 2026 performance. An upset would require an unprecedented late-year surge from another release or significant underperformance by Spider-Man’s domestic hold, scenarios traders currently view as low-likelihood given the data.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$16,604,775
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering global opening of $927 million has anchored the overwhelming market-implied odds at 91 percent, reflecting traders’ confidence in the MCU’s franchise momentum, Tom Holland’s star power, and strong audience demand for superhero tentpoles. Historical patterns show that films with openings above $800 million rarely finish outside the year’s top two, and early tracking plus premium-format sales reinforce expectations of substantial legs through the summer and holiday windows. Avengers: Doomsday sits at a distant 7.5 percent because its later release date leaves room for competitive pressure, while lower-probability titles like The Odyssey, Dune: Messiah, and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie face steeper paths given their current trajectories or earlier 2026 performance. An upset would require an unprecedented late-year surge from another release or significant underperformance by Spider-Man’s domestic hold, scenarios traders currently view as low-likelihood given the data.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$16,604,775
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia" at 91%, followed by "Vingadores: Juízo Final" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?" has generated $16.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?" is "Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vingadores: Juízo Final" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.