Current meteorological observations and forecast models from official agencies point to a Beijing high of 18°C or 19°C today, consistent with the market-implied probabilities that assign these outcomes the clearest trader backing. Stable spring atmospheric conditions, driven by moderate westerly flow and minimal moisture advection, are suppressing daytime warming relative to historical May baselines. Recent surface station readings and ensemble guidance show no rapid intensification from solar heating or warm-air advection that would elevate readings toward 20°C or above. Updated model runs expected later in the day will determine whether any final adjustments shift the resolution outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 17 de maio?
19°C 97.0%
21°C 1.4%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$51,782 Vol.
$51,782 Vol.
17 mai 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
97%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 97.0%
21°C 1.4%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$51,782 Vol.
$51,782 Vol.
17 mai 2026
13°C or below
$517 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$640 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,765 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$6,524 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$8,586 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$9,133 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$6,460 Vol.
97%
20°C
$5,795 Vol.
1%
21°C
$4,429 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5,576 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$6,220 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from official agencies point to a Beijing high of 18°C or 19°C today, consistent with the market-implied probabilities that assign these outcomes the clearest trader backing. Stable spring atmospheric conditions, driven by moderate westerly flow and minimal moisture advection, are suppressing daytime warming relative to historical May baselines. Recent surface station readings and ensemble guidance show no rapid intensification from solar heating or warm-air advection that would elevate readings toward 20°C or above. Updated model runs expected later in the day will determine whether any final adjustments shift the resolution outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$51,782Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from official agencies point to a Beijing high of 18°C or 19°C today, consistent with the market-implied probabilities that assign these outcomes the clearest trader backing. Stable spring atmospheric conditions, driven by moderate westerly flow and minimal moisture advection, are suppressing daytime warming relative to historical May baselines. Recent surface station readings and ensemble guidance show no rapid intensification from solar heating or warm-air advection that would elevate readings toward 20°C or above. Updated model runs expected later in the day will determine whether any final adjustments shift the resolution outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$51,782Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent meteorological observations and forecast models from official agencies point to a Beijing high of 18°C or 19°C today, consistent with the market-implied probabilities that assign these outcomes the clearest trader backing. Stable spring atmospheric conditions, driven by moderate westerly flow and minimal moisture advection, are suppressing daytime warming relative to historical May baselines. Recent surface station readings and ensemble guidance show no rapid intensification from solar heating or warm-air advection that would elevate readings toward 20°C or above. Updated model runs expected later in the day will determine whether any final adjustments shift the resolution outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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