Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble runs have converged on a daytime maximum of 15–17 °C for London on May 17, placing the 16 °C outcome at the center of trader sentiment with a 51.5 % implied probability. Persistent northerly flow and increased cloud cover are limiting solar heating and holding temperatures several degrees below the mid-May climatological average of 17.5 °C, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise push readings higher. Tight clustering of guidance around 16 °C leaves only modest upside risk for 17 °C if afternoon breaks develop, and downside support for 15 °C remains limited. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at London City Airport, with the next model update expected overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 17 de maio?
16°C 52%
17°C 29%
15°C 14%
18°C 6.3%
NOVO
$30,134 Vol.
NOVO
$30,134 Vol.
17 mai 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
14%
16°C
52%
17°C
29%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 52%
17°C 29%
15°C 14%
18°C 6.3%
NOVO
$30,134 Vol.
NOVO
$30,134 Vol.
17 mai 2026
10°C or below
$697 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,669 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,235 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,672 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$4,166 Vol.
2%
15°C
$3,291 Vol.
14%
16°C
$4,962 Vol.
52%
17°C
$4,291 Vol.
29%
18°C
$2,232 Vol.
6%
19°C
$2,353 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$1,567 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble runs have converged on a daytime maximum of 15–17 °C for London on May 17, placing the 16 °C outcome at the center of trader sentiment with a 51.5 % implied probability. Persistent northerly flow and increased cloud cover are limiting solar heating and holding temperatures several degrees below the mid-May climatological average of 17.5 °C, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise push readings higher. Tight clustering of guidance around 16 °C leaves only modest upside risk for 17 °C if afternoon breaks develop, and downside support for 15 °C remains limited. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at London City Airport, with the next model update expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$30,134Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble runs have converged on a daytime maximum of 15–17 °C for London on May 17, placing the 16 °C outcome at the center of trader sentiment with a 51.5 % implied probability. Persistent northerly flow and increased cloud cover are limiting solar heating and holding temperatures several degrees below the mid-May climatological average of 17.5 °C, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise push readings higher. Tight clustering of guidance around 16 °C leaves only modest upside risk for 17 °C if afternoon breaks develop, and downside support for 15 °C remains limited. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at London City Airport, with the next model update expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,134Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble runs have converged on a daytime maximum of 15–17 °C for London on May 17, placing the 16 °C outcome at the center of trader sentiment with a 51.5 % implied probability. Persistent northerly flow and increased cloud cover are limiting solar heating and holding temperatures several degrees below the mid-May climatological average of 17.5 °C, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise push readings higher. Tight clustering of guidance around 16 °C leaves only modest upside risk for 17 °C if afternoon breaks develop, and downside support for 15 °C remains limited. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at London City Airport, with the next model update expected overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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