The India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s forecast issued May 13 projects a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies becoming fully clear, with minimums around 27°C, anchoring trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for 39°C or below. This reflects stable pre-monsoon conditions following above-normal early May rainfall that has tempered heat across Uttar Pradesh, avoiding heatwave thresholds (40°C+ for plains). Recent daily highs have hovered near 36-38°C per IMD data, with model consensus showing low intensification risk absent dry northerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected high-pressure reinforcement boosting solar heating or station-specific variances at Lucknow Airport, though short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% this near resolution. Official measurement tomorrow will settle the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 14?
39°C or below 89%
40°C 7.2%
41°C 1.2%
42°C <1%
$18,035 Vol.
$18,035 Vol.
39°C or below
89%
40°C
7%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C or higher
<1%
39°C or below 89%
40°C 7.2%
41°C 1.2%
42°C <1%
$18,035 Vol.
$18,035 Vol.
39°C or below
89%
40°C
7%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s forecast issued May 13 projects a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies becoming fully clear, with minimums around 27°C, anchoring trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for 39°C or below. This reflects stable pre-monsoon conditions following above-normal early May rainfall that has tempered heat across Uttar Pradesh, avoiding heatwave thresholds (40°C+ for plains). Recent daily highs have hovered near 36-38°C per IMD data, with model consensus showing low intensification risk absent dry northerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected high-pressure reinforcement boosting solar heating or station-specific variances at Lucknow Airport, though short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% this near resolution. Official measurement tomorrow will settle the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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