Current observational data from coastal monitoring stations and short-range forecast models support the market's 100% implied probability for a daily high of 33°C in Qingdao on August 14. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow has driven afternoon temperatures toward this threshold, consistent with typical late-summer maxima along the Yellow Sea coast where marine influence usually caps extremes. The China Meteorological Administration's real-time network and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread. Only an unanticipated shift in steering winds or rapid marine-layer intrusion could alter the peak reading before official daily closure.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 14 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 14 de agosto?
33°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$32,011 Vol.
$32,011 Vol.
14 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Sim
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C ou mais
Não
33°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$32,011 Vol.
$32,011 Vol.
14 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
$1,420 Vol.
Não
27°C
$2,420 Vol.
Não
28°C
$3,168 Vol.
Não
29°C
$1,998 Vol.
Não
30°C
$3,315 Vol.
Não
31°C
$3,480 Vol.
Não
32°C
$5,614 Vol.
Não
33°C
$2,714 Vol.
Sim
34°C
$5,415 Vol.
Não
35°C
$1,632 Vol.
Não
36°C ou mais
$834 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from coastal monitoring stations and short-range forecast models support the market's 100% implied probability for a daily high of 33°C in Qingdao on August 14. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow has driven afternoon temperatures toward this threshold, consistent with typical late-summer maxima along the Yellow Sea coast where marine influence usually caps extremes. The China Meteorological Administration's real-time network and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread. Only an unanticipated shift in steering winds or rapid marine-layer intrusion could alter the peak reading before official daily closure.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$32,011Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from coastal monitoring stations and short-range forecast models support the market's 100% implied probability for a daily high of 33°C in Qingdao on August 14. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow has driven afternoon temperatures toward this threshold, consistent with typical late-summer maxima along the Yellow Sea coast where marine influence usually caps extremes. The China Meteorological Administration's real-time network and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread. Only an unanticipated shift in steering winds or rapid marine-layer intrusion could alter the peak reading before official daily closure.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,011Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current observational data from coastal monitoring stations and short-range forecast models support the market's 100% implied probability for a daily high of 33°C in Qingdao on August 14. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow has driven afternoon temperatures toward this threshold, consistent with typical late-summer maxima along the Yellow Sea coast where marine influence usually caps extremes. The China Meteorological Administration's real-time network and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread. Only an unanticipated shift in steering winds or rapid marine-layer intrusion could alter the peak reading before official daily closure.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions