Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 14 at 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation risk, yet trader consensus prices 27°C or higher at 37% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C (26.5%) and 26°C (24%). This positioning reflects recent observational data showing yesterday's high near 26°C amid a warming spring trend, with some global models like GFS hinting at upper-20s potential from a building high-pressure ridge and above-average May insolation. Historical May averages hover around 22–23°C, but current atmospheric conditions favor mild warmth; short-range forecast uncertainty persists as new hourly KMA updates and ensemble runs could shift odds before resolution on official Seoul station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
27°C or higher 39.1%
25°C 29%
26°C 24%
24°C 11%
$110,486 Vol.
$110,486 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
29%
26°C
24%
27°C or higher
39%
27°C or higher 39.1%
25°C 29%
26°C 24%
24°C 11%
$110,486 Vol.
$110,486 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
29%
26°C
24%
27°C or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 14 at 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation risk, yet trader consensus prices 27°C or higher at 37% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C (26.5%) and 26°C (24%). This positioning reflects recent observational data showing yesterday's high near 26°C amid a warming spring trend, with some global models like GFS hinting at upper-20s potential from a building high-pressure ridge and above-average May insolation. Historical May averages hover around 22–23°C, but current atmospheric conditions favor mild warmth; short-range forecast uncertainty persists as new hourly KMA updates and ensemble runs could shift odds before resolution on official Seoul station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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