Latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast indicates a high near 25°C for Tokyo on May 14 under partly cloudy skies with periods of sunshine, aligning trader consensus with market-implied probabilities of 32.5% for 24°C and 29.0% for 25°C, while 23°C trails at 21.5%. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show a tight 23–26°C spread amid a high-pressure ridge and low wind shear favoring mid-20s peaks, but uncertainty stems from potential afternoon showers or increased cloud cover that could reduce insolation and cap the high at 24°C or lower. This follows recent warming—24°C on May 13 and 23°C on May 12, above May climatological norms around 22°C. Watch JMA midday updates and real-time Haneda Airport observations for resolution-defining peak temperature.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 14?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 14?
24°C 34%
25°C 28%
23°C 20%
26°C 16%
NOVO
$35,315 Vol.
NOVO
$35,315 Vol.
14 mai 2026
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
20%
24°C
34%
25°C
28%
26°C
16%
27°C or higher
4%
24°C 34%
25°C 28%
23°C 20%
26°C 16%
NOVO
$35,315 Vol.
NOVO
$35,315 Vol.
14 mai 2026
19°C
$1,433 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$4,639 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$4,086 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,105 Vol.
5%
23°C
$3,061 Vol.
20%
24°C
$3,266 Vol.
34%
25°C
$2,991 Vol.
28%
26°C
$2,994 Vol.
16%
27°C or higher
$3,764 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast indicates a high near 25°C for Tokyo on May 14 under partly cloudy skies with periods of sunshine, aligning trader consensus with market-implied probabilities of 32.5% for 24°C and 29.0% for 25°C, while 23°C trails at 21.5%. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show a tight 23–26°C spread amid a high-pressure ridge and low wind shear favoring mid-20s peaks, but uncertainty stems from potential afternoon showers or increased cloud cover that could reduce insolation and cap the high at 24°C or lower. This follows recent warming—24°C on May 13 and 23°C on May 12, above May climatological norms around 22°C. Watch JMA midday updates and real-time Haneda Airport observations for resolution-defining peak temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Volume
$35,315Data de Término
14 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast indicates a high near 25°C for Tokyo on May 14 under partly cloudy skies with periods of sunshine, aligning trader consensus with market-implied probabilities of 32.5% for 24°C and 29.0% for 25°C, while 23°C trails at 21.5%. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show a tight 23–26°C spread amid a high-pressure ridge and low wind shear favoring mid-20s peaks, but uncertainty stems from potential afternoon showers or increased cloud cover that could reduce insolation and cap the high at 24°C or lower. This follows recent warming—24°C on May 13 and 23°C on May 12, above May climatological norms around 22°C. Watch JMA midday updates and real-time Haneda Airport observations for resolution-defining peak temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,315Data de Término
14 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast indicates a high near 25°C for Tokyo on May 14 under partly cloudy skies with periods of sunshine, aligning trader consensus with market-implied probabilities of 32.5% for 24°C and 29.0% for 25°C, while 23°C trails at 21.5%. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show a tight 23–26°C spread amid a high-pressure ridge and low wind shear favoring mid-20s peaks, but uncertainty stems from potential afternoon showers or increased cloud cover that could reduce insolation and cap the high at 24°C or lower. This follows recent warming—24°C on May 13 and 23°C on May 12, above May climatological norms around 22°C. Watch JMA midday updates and real-time Haneda Airport observations for resolution-defining peak temperature.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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