A high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region is driving southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating, positioning Tokyo’s official maximum at the Otemachi station near 28–29 °C according to the latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance. This synoptic setup favors clear skies and light winds that limit mixing with cooler marine air, keeping the day’s peak well above the mid-May climatological average of roughly 23 °C yet short of the stronger warming needed for a 30 °C reading. Recent model runs show only modest spread in the afternoon temperature curve, reinforcing trader consensus around the 28 °C and 29 °C bins while leaving slim probability for an early-evening surge above 30 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 17 de maio?
28°C 84%
29°C 13%
30°C or higher 2.0%
20°C or below <1%
$61,505 Vol.
$61,505 Vol.
17 mai 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
84%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
2%
28°C 84%
29°C 13%
30°C or higher 2.0%
20°C or below <1%
$61,505 Vol.
$61,505 Vol.
17 mai 2026
20°C or below
$2,924 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,793 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$819 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,184 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,314 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,128 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$9,437 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$9,779 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,746 Vol.
84%
29°C
$4,041 Vol.
13%
30°C or higher
$7,116 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region is driving southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating, positioning Tokyo’s official maximum at the Otemachi station near 28–29 °C according to the latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance. This synoptic setup favors clear skies and light winds that limit mixing with cooler marine air, keeping the day’s peak well above the mid-May climatological average of roughly 23 °C yet short of the stronger warming needed for a 30 °C reading. Recent model runs show only modest spread in the afternoon temperature curve, reinforcing trader consensus around the 28 °C and 29 °C bins while leaving slim probability for an early-evening surge above 30 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$61,505Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region is driving southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating, positioning Tokyo’s official maximum at the Otemachi station near 28–29 °C according to the latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance. This synoptic setup favors clear skies and light winds that limit mixing with cooler marine air, keeping the day’s peak well above the mid-May climatological average of roughly 23 °C yet short of the stronger warming needed for a 30 °C reading. Recent model runs show only modest spread in the afternoon temperature curve, reinforcing trader consensus around the 28 °C and 29 °C bins while leaving slim probability for an early-evening surge above 30 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$61,505Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTA high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region is driving southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating, positioning Tokyo’s official maximum at the Otemachi station near 28–29 °C according to the latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance. This synoptic setup favors clear skies and light winds that limit mixing with cooler marine air, keeping the day’s peak well above the mid-May climatological average of roughly 23 °C yet short of the stronger warming needed for a 30 °C reading. Recent model runs show only modest spread in the afternoon temperature curve, reinforcing trader consensus around the 28 °C and 29 °C bins while leaving slim probability for an early-evening surge above 30 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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