Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Warsaw will reach a daytime maximum of 36–38°C on August 5 under sunny skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover. These conditions, driven by a warm air mass and strong daytime heating, position 37°C as the leading market outcome at 42.5% implied probability, followed closely by 36°C and 38°C. Model consensus shows limited potential for exceeding 38°C due to modest wind speeds and the timing of peak insolation, while historical August averages near 25°C underscore the anomalous warmth. Updated guidance later today could refine exact peaks ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia no dia 5 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia no dia 5 de agosto?
37°C 42%
36°C 27%
38°C 24%
39°C 4%
$43,226 Vol.
$43,226 Vol.
5 ago 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
27%
37°C
42%
38°C
24%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 42%
36°C 27%
38°C 24%
39°C 4%
$43,226 Vol.
$43,226 Vol.
5 ago 2026
31°C or below
$6,369 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,272 Vol.
1%
33°C
$3,197 Vol.
1%
34°C
$2,635 Vol.
2%
35°C
$5,548 Vol.
4%
36°C
$2,406 Vol.
27%
37°C
$2,048 Vol.
42%
38°C
$5,872 Vol.
24%
39°C
$5,915 Vol.
4%
40°C
$2,676 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$1,389 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Warsaw will reach a daytime maximum of 36–38°C on August 5 under sunny skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover. These conditions, driven by a warm air mass and strong daytime heating, position 37°C as the leading market outcome at 42.5% implied probability, followed closely by 36°C and 38°C. Model consensus shows limited potential for exceeding 38°C due to modest wind speeds and the timing of peak insolation, while historical August averages near 25°C underscore the anomalous warmth. Updated guidance later today could refine exact peaks ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$43,226Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Warsaw will reach a daytime maximum of 36–38°C on August 5 under sunny skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover. These conditions, driven by a warm air mass and strong daytime heating, position 37°C as the leading market outcome at 42.5% implied probability, followed closely by 36°C and 38°C. Model consensus shows limited potential for exceeding 38°C due to modest wind speeds and the timing of peak insolation, while historical August averages near 25°C underscore the anomalous warmth. Updated guidance later today could refine exact peaks ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,226Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Warsaw will reach a daytime maximum of 36–38°C on August 5 under sunny skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover. These conditions, driven by a warm air mass and strong daytime heating, position 37°C as the leading market outcome at 42.5% implied probability, followed closely by 36°C and 38°C. Model consensus shows limited potential for exceeding 38°C due to modest wind speeds and the timing of peak insolation, while historical August averages near 25°C underscore the anomalous warmth. Updated guidance later today could refine exact peaks ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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