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Geopolítica·Trump

Quantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?

icon for Quantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?
Geopolítica·Trump

Quantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?

dez 31

dez 31

1-100 68.2%

101-1k 13.3%

>100 mil 8.1%

2,5 mil-5 mil 4.1%

Polymarket

$235,009 Vol.

1-100 68.2%

101-1k 13.3%

>100 mil 8.1%

2,5 mil-5 mil 4.1%

Polymarket

$235,009 Vol.

1-100

$15,587 Vol.

68%

101-1k

$8,057 Vol.

13%

1k-2,5k

$9,286 Vol.

4%

2,5 mil-5 mil

$7,931 Vol.

4%

5 mil-10 mil

$9,174 Vol.

4%

10k-25k

$110,794 Vol.

2%

25 mil-100 mil

$7,129 Vol.

2%

>100 mil

$22,625 Vol.

8%

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s Gold Card visa program, offering fast-track U.S. residency for a $1 million contribution, has generated limited uptake since its December 2025 launch, with only one approval and a few hundred applications under review by early May 2026. Officials initially claimed rapid sales exceeding $1 billion, yet processing delays, legal scrutiny over eligibility and timelines, and the high price point have slowed momentum among wealthy foreign applicants. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the 1-100 range for total 2026 issuances, reflecting the program’s early performance and structural barriers relative to established investor-visa pathways. Any acceleration would require streamlined approvals or policy adjustments before year-end.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$235,009
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s Gold Card visa program, offering fast-track U.S. residency for a $1 million contribution, has generated limited uptake since its December 2025 launch, with only one approval and a few hundred applications under review by early May 2026. Officials initially claimed rapid sales exceeding $1 billion, yet processing delays, legal scrutiny over eligibility and timelines, and the high price point have slowed momentum among wealthy foreign applicants. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the 1-100 range for total 2026 issuances, reflecting the program’s early performance and structural barriers relative to established investor-visa pathways. Any acceleration would require streamlined approvals or policy adjustments before year-end.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$235,009
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1-100" at 68%, followed by "101-1k" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?" has generated $235K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?" is "1-100" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "101-1k" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.