The succession following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death has left the official @khamenei_ir account in a memorialized state, issuing only occasional archival statements rather than new commentary. This shift has produced extended quiet periods, with no posts recorded in the opening days of the current resolution window and similarly sparse activity through early May. Ongoing regional tensions with the United States and Israel continue to generate occasional written messages attributed to the new leadership, yet these rarely translate into frequent X activity on the legacy account. Traders therefore price the under-five and five-to-nine ranges nearly even, reflecting uncertainty over whether any scheduled commemorative or diplomatic statements will appear before May 22.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKhamenei # posts 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?
Khamenei # posts 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?
<5 46%
55-59 41.9%
45-49 40.3%
50-54 39.1%
NOVO
NOVO
22 mai 2026
<5
46%
5-9
46%
10-14
23%
15-19
40%
20-24
40%
25-29
40%
30-34
36%
35-39
43%
40-44
5%
45-49
40%
50-54
39%
55-59
42%
60+
22%
<5 46%
55-59 41.9%
45-49 40.3%
50-54 39.1%
NOVO
NOVO
22 mai 2026
<5
$214 Vol.
46%
5-9
$62 Vol.
46%
10-14
$71 Vol.
23%
15-19
$44 Vol.
40%
20-24
$40 Vol.
40%
25-29
$40 Vol.
40%
30-34
$85 Vol.
36%
35-39
$61 Vol.
43%
40-44
$140 Vol.
5%
45-49
$70 Vol.
40%
50-54
$69 Vol.
39%
55-59
$55 Vol.
42%
60+
$123 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The succession following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death has left the official @khamenei_ir account in a memorialized state, issuing only occasional archival statements rather than new commentary. This shift has produced extended quiet periods, with no posts recorded in the opening days of the current resolution window and similarly sparse activity through early May. Ongoing regional tensions with the United States and Israel continue to generate occasional written messages attributed to the new leadership, yet these rarely translate into frequent X activity on the legacy account. Traders therefore price the under-five and five-to-nine ranges nearly even, reflecting uncertainty over whether any scheduled commemorative or diplomatic statements will appear before May 22.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$1,075Data de Término
22 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The succession following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death has left the official @khamenei_ir account in a memorialized state, issuing only occasional archival statements rather than new commentary. This shift has produced extended quiet periods, with no posts recorded in the opening days of the current resolution window and similarly sparse activity through early May. Ongoing regional tensions with the United States and Israel continue to generate occasional written messages attributed to the new leadership, yet these rarely translate into frequent X activity on the legacy account. Traders therefore price the under-five and five-to-nine ranges nearly even, reflecting uncertainty over whether any scheduled commemorative or diplomatic statements will appear before May 22.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,075Data de Término
22 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The succession following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death has left the official @khamenei_ir account in a memorialized state, issuing only occasional archival statements rather than new commentary. This shift has produced extended quiet periods, with no posts recorded in the opening days of the current resolution window and similarly sparse activity through early May. Ongoing regional tensions with the United States and Israel continue to generate occasional written messages attributed to the new leadership, yet these rarely translate into frequent X activity on the legacy account. Traders therefore price the under-five and five-to-nine ranges nearly even, reflecting uncertainty over whether any scheduled commemorative or diplomatic statements will appear before May 22.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions