Recent northerly flow and a cooler air mass advancing into central Turkey are driving the market's tight clustering around 12–14°C for Ankara's minimum temperature on August 29. Official guidance from multiple models shows overnight lows settling in the 12–15°C range as daytime highs drop to the mid-20s under increased cloud cover and light precipitation, limiting daytime heating and enhancing radiative cooling after sunset. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from variations in forecast wind speed, dew-point depression, and exact timing of the temperature minimum, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band just 48 hours before resolution, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 10–16°C envelope.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Ancara em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Ancara em 29 de agosto?
19°C or higher 53%
16°C 50%
11°C 27%
12°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
9°C or below
2%
10°C
25%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
50%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
53%
19°C or higher 53%
16°C 50%
11°C 27%
12°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
10°C
$0 Vol.
25%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$10 Vol.
50%
17°C
$5 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5 Vol.
8%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly flow and a cooler air mass advancing into central Turkey are driving the market's tight clustering around 12–14°C for Ankara's minimum temperature on August 29. Official guidance from multiple models shows overnight lows settling in the 12–15°C range as daytime highs drop to the mid-20s under increased cloud cover and light precipitation, limiting daytime heating and enhancing radiative cooling after sunset. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from variations in forecast wind speed, dew-point depression, and exact timing of the temperature minimum, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band just 48 hours before resolution, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 10–16°C envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$30Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly flow and a cooler air mass advancing into central Turkey are driving the market's tight clustering around 12–14°C for Ankara's minimum temperature on August 29. Official guidance from multiple models shows overnight lows settling in the 12–15°C range as daytime highs drop to the mid-20s under increased cloud cover and light precipitation, limiting daytime heating and enhancing radiative cooling after sunset. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from variations in forecast wind speed, dew-point depression, and exact timing of the temperature minimum, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band just 48 hours before resolution, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 10–16°C envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly flow and a cooler air mass advancing into central Turkey are driving the market's tight clustering around 12–14°C for Ankara's minimum temperature on August 29. Official guidance from multiple models shows overnight lows settling in the 12–15°C range as daytime highs drop to the mid-20s under increased cloud cover and light precipitation, limiting daytime heating and enhancing radiative cooling after sunset. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from variations in forecast wind speed, dew-point depression, and exact timing of the temperature minimum, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band just 48 hours before resolution, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 10–16°C envelope.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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