**Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project overnight lows in the mid- to upper-70s for Austin on September 2, 2026, as a strong late-summer heat dome maintains hot, humid conditions with minimal frontal influence.** Daytime highs near 99–100 °F and a slight chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms could modestly affect the diurnal range, but steering patterns favor continued southerly flow without significant cooling. Historical climatology for early September shows typical lows around 70–74 °F, so current guidance represents above-average warmth. Market-implied odds cluster around 76–77 °F because recent model runs show limited spread, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any convection introduce uncertainty that keeps probabilities for cooler bins (69 °F or below) and warmer extremes competitive. Updated NWS briefings and evening model cycles will be key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Austin no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Austin no dia 2 de setembro?
69°F ou menos 97%
88°F ou mais 96%
70-71°F 87%
74-75°F 86%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
69°F ou menos
97%
70-71°F
87%
72-73°F
85%
74-75°F
86%
76-77°F
55%
78-79°F
80%
80-81°F
85%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
86%
86-87°F
84%
88°F ou mais
96%
69°F ou menos 97%
88°F ou mais 96%
70-71°F 87%
74-75°F 86%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
69°F ou menos
$15 Vol.
97%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
87%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
85%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
86%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
55%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
80%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
85%
82-83°F
$15 Vol.
20%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
86%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
84%
88°F ou mais
$5 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project overnight lows in the mid- to upper-70s for Austin on September 2, 2026, as a strong late-summer heat dome maintains hot, humid conditions with minimal frontal influence.** Daytime highs near 99–100 °F and a slight chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms could modestly affect the diurnal range, but steering patterns favor continued southerly flow without significant cooling. Historical climatology for early September shows typical lows around 70–74 °F, so current guidance represents above-average warmth. Market-implied odds cluster around 76–77 °F because recent model runs show limited spread, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any convection introduce uncertainty that keeps probabilities for cooler bins (69 °F or below) and warmer extremes competitive. Updated NWS briefings and evening model cycles will be key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$45Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project overnight lows in the mid- to upper-70s for Austin on September 2, 2026, as a strong late-summer heat dome maintains hot, humid conditions with minimal frontal influence.** Daytime highs near 99–100 °F and a slight chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms could modestly affect the diurnal range, but steering patterns favor continued southerly flow without significant cooling. Historical climatology for early September shows typical lows around 70–74 °F, so current guidance represents above-average warmth. Market-implied odds cluster around 76–77 °F because recent model runs show limited spread, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any convection introduce uncertainty that keeps probabilities for cooler bins (69 °F or below) and warmer extremes competitive. Updated NWS briefings and evening model cycles will be key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project overnight lows in the mid- to upper-70s for Austin on September 2, 2026, as a strong late-summer heat dome maintains hot, humid conditions with minimal frontal influence.** Daytime highs near 99–100 °F and a slight chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms could modestly affect the diurnal range, but steering patterns favor continued southerly flow without significant cooling. Historical climatology for early September shows typical lows around 70–74 °F, so current guidance represents above-average warmth. Market-implied odds cluster around 76–77 °F because recent model runs show limited spread, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any convection introduce uncertainty that keeps probabilities for cooler bins (69 °F or below) and warmer extremes competitive. Updated NWS briefings and evening model cycles will be key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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