Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu near 22–23°C overnight into August 30 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies. This range reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Sichuan basin, moderated by residual humidity after scattered showers on prior days and light winds. Official outlooks show daytime highs around 30–32°C with low precipitation risk, supporting gradual overnight temperature drops without strong cold-air advection. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–23°C because small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any China Meteorological Administration briefing before resolution remain the key variables that could tilt probabilities between the leading outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 30 de agosto?
28°C or higher 80%
26°C 77%
18°C or below 76%
20°C 76%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
18°C or below
76%
19°C
38%
20°C
76%
21°C
76%
22°C
42%
23°C
53%
24°C
40%
25°C
2%
26°C
77%
27°C
76%
28°C or higher
80%
28°C or higher 80%
26°C 77%
18°C or below 76%
20°C 76%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
76%
19°C
$0 Vol.
38%
20°C
$0 Vol.
76%
21°C
$0 Vol.
76%
22°C
$0 Vol.
42%
23°C
$0 Vol.
53%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
77%
27°C
$0 Vol.
76%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu near 22–23°C overnight into August 30 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies. This range reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Sichuan basin, moderated by residual humidity after scattered showers on prior days and light winds. Official outlooks show daytime highs around 30–32°C with low precipitation risk, supporting gradual overnight temperature drops without strong cold-air advection. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–23°C because small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any China Meteorological Administration briefing before resolution remain the key variables that could tilt probabilities between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu near 22–23°C overnight into August 30 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies. This range reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Sichuan basin, moderated by residual humidity after scattered showers on prior days and light winds. Official outlooks show daytime highs around 30–32°C with low precipitation risk, supporting gradual overnight temperature drops without strong cold-air advection. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–23°C because small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any China Meteorological Administration briefing before resolution remain the key variables that could tilt probabilities between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu near 22–23°C overnight into August 30 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies. This range reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Sichuan basin, moderated by residual humidity after scattered showers on prior days and light winds. Official outlooks show daytime highs around 30–32°C with low precipitation risk, supporting gradual overnight temperature drops without strong cold-air advection. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–23°C because small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any China Meteorological Administration briefing before resolution remain the key variables that could tilt probabilities between the leading outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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