Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 29 project a daily minimum of 28°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with overnight readings holding near 28–29°C amid high humidity and light southwest winds. Sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and persistently warm soil profiles limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical summer regime, aligning trader consensus at 95% implied probability for a 28°C low. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 25–26°C, yet current synoptic stability and model consensus reduce odds of sharper drops. A sudden wind shift or localized heavy precipitation could introduce minor cooling, though official station data through evening indicate limited scope for deviation below the forecast threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 29 de agosto?
28°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
$19,799 Vol.
$19,799 Vol.
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
$19,799 Vol.
$19,799 Vol.
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
$273 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$209 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,058 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,299 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,771 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,827 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$7,419 Vol.
100%
29°C
$3,040 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 29 project a daily minimum of 28°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with overnight readings holding near 28–29°C amid high humidity and light southwest winds. Sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and persistently warm soil profiles limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical summer regime, aligning trader consensus at 95% implied probability for a 28°C low. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 25–26°C, yet current synoptic stability and model consensus reduce odds of sharper drops. A sudden wind shift or localized heavy precipitation could introduce minor cooling, though official station data through evening indicate limited scope for deviation below the forecast threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$19,799Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 29 project a daily minimum of 28°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with overnight readings holding near 28–29°C amid high humidity and light southwest winds. Sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and persistently warm soil profiles limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical summer regime, aligning trader consensus at 95% implied probability for a 28°C low. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 25–26°C, yet current synoptic stability and model consensus reduce odds of sharper drops. A sudden wind shift or localized heavy precipitation could introduce minor cooling, though official station data through evening indicate limited scope for deviation below the forecast threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,799Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 29 project a daily minimum of 28°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with overnight readings holding near 28–29°C amid high humidity and light southwest winds. Sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and persistently warm soil profiles limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical summer regime, aligning trader consensus at 95% implied probability for a 28°C low. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 25–26°C, yet current synoptic stability and model consensus reduce odds of sharper drops. A sudden wind shift or localized heavy precipitation could introduce minor cooling, though official station data through evening indicate limited scope for deviation below the forecast threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions